Materialise NV (MTLS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MTLS - Materialise NV

Services-Prepackaged Software
$8.27
-0.03 (-0.36%) â–ŧ
5d: -3.27%
30d: +8.25%
90d: +22.16%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026 14d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: MTLS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 10.3% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.31
Based on 12.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.40
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MTLS is currently trading at $8.27, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.56 to $8.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 36.0) compared to its historical average (26.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MTLS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: MTLS scores 19/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $7.56 - $8.48
Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 38.1%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (19/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($8.80)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 10.3% growth expectation is conservative given 1596% recent growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $7.56 - $8.48
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $8.12
Resistance Level $8.82
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 12, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 35.96
Wall Street Target $8.80 (+6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1595.6%
Profit Margin 4.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +10.3% premium
PE vs Historical 36.0 vs 26.8 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +10.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.12 (+10%)
2-Year Target $10.06 (+22%)
3-Year Target $11.10 (+34%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 36→27) PE COMPRESSION $8.27 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 36.0, Growth: 21.1%) $14.67 (+77%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 21.1%) $8.10 (-2%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 21.1%) $6.89 (-17%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 29.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.28
Bull Case $7.50 (-9%)
Analyst growth -17.9%, PE expands to 32.6
Base Case $6.82 (-18%)
Market implied -17.9%, PE stable at 29.6
Bear Case $5.64 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 12, 2026 10:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:12 PM
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