Materialise NV (MTLS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MTLS - Materialise NV

Services-Prepackaged Software
$8.55
0.05 (0.59%) ▲
5d: -0.35%
30d: +21.62%
90d: +21.45%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 5, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026 21d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MTLS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.31
Based on 12.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.40
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MTLS is currently trading at $8.55, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.01 to $8.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 37.2) compared to its historical average (26.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MTLS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.73, while resistance sits at $8.82.

Market Sentiment: MTLS scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $7.01 - $8.15
Company Quality Score 32/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 23.8%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($8.74)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 11.9% growth expectation is conservative given 1596% recent growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $7.01 - $8.15
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $7.73
Resistance Level $8.82
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 5, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 37.17
Wall Street Target $8.74 (+2.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1595.6%
Profit Margin 4.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +11.9% premium
PE vs Historical 37.2 vs 26.5 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +11.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.57 (+12%)
2-Year Target $10.71 (+25%)
3-Year Target $11.98 (+40%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 37→27) PE COMPRESSION $8.54 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 37.2, Growth: 21.1%) $15.17 (+77%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.7, Growth: 21.1%) $8.04 (-6%)
Bear: (PE: 16.7, Growth: 21.1%) $6.83 (-20%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 32.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.26
Bull Case $8.27 (-3%)
Analyst growth -11.5%, PE expands to 36.0
Base Case $7.52 (-12%)
Market implied -11.5%, PE stable at 32.7
Bear Case $5.78 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 05, 2026 11:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:56 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Net
NEUTRAL

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