NIO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NIO - NIO Inc. American depositary shares, each representing one Class A ordinary share
$4.95
0.17 (3.45%)
▲
5d:
-1.49%
30d:
-4.54%
90d:
-23.92%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 01, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.7/10
Get Alerted When NIO Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
2 traders called NIO this week
50% bullish • 1 bearish
50% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NIO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NIO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.82
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.34
32.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NIO is currently trading at $4.95, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.81 to $5.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.1) compared to its historical average (5.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NIO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.66, while resistance sits at $5.12. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.34 (+53.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NIO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.66, while resistance sits at $5.12. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.34 (+53.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$4.81 -
$5.49
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 53.6% below Wall St target ($7.34)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.81 -
$5.49
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.66
Resistance Level
$5.12
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.09
Wall Street Target
$7.34
(+53.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
112.2%
Profit Margin
-9.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.1 vs 5.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.42
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$4.09
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$3.78
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→5)
$4.81
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 171.1%)
$85.83
(+1696%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.1, Growth: 171.1%)
$16.13
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.5, Growth: 171.1%)
$13.71
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.1 to 5.2
Stabilization Target:
$6.07
(+27.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 11:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NIO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Auto Manufacturers Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Auto Manufacturers by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
XPEV
Xpeng Inc |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$23 | 54 HOLD |
|
TSLA
Tesla Inc |
HOLD
47 analysts |
$425 | 58 HOLD |
|
GM
General Motors Company |
HOLD
29 analysts |
$96 | 55 HOLD |
|
RIVN
Rivian Automotive Inc |
HOLD
29 analysts |
$19 | 60 HOLD |
|
LI
Li Auto Inc |
HOLD
28 analysts |
$18 | 56 HOLD |
Advanced NIO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NIO price and gamma walls.
