Is OXY stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, OXY is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OXY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of OXY stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for OXY to be between $53.11 and $57.66. The current price is $58.36.

What is the analyst price target for OXY?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for OXY is $66.09. This implies a potential upside of 14.5% from current levels.

OXY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

OXY - Occidental Petroleum Corporation

CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

$58.36

0.66 (1.14%) ▲

5d: +4.38%

30d: +8.78%

90d: +2.67%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your OXY Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $55.91 · last confirmed Aug 14, 2026

Strength: 6.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OXY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -32.4%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$37.55

Based on -14.2% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$23.32

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.7x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: OXY is currently trading at $58.36, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.11 to $57.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.6) compared to its historical average (21.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 964.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, OXY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $59.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: OXY scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.09 (+14.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $53.11 - $57.66

Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 26.2%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($66.09)
WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $53.11 - $57.66

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $53.66

Resistance Level $59.55

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Aug 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.64

Wall Street Target $66.09 (+14.5%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 53.4%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 964.9%

Profit Margin 30.3%

Valuation Discount vs History -12.3% cheaper

PE vs Historical 14.6 vs 21.7 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -12.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $51.93 (-10%)

2-Year Target $46.74 (-19%)

3-Year Target $42.06 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→22) $62.35 (+8%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: -32.4%) $58.13 (+1%)

Base: (SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: -32.4%) $42.06 (-27%)

Bear: (PE: 12.4, Growth: -32.4%) $35.75 (-38%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 17.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.36

Bull Case $75.55 (+30%)

Analyst growth 17.3%, PE expands to 19.2

Base Case $68.68 (+18%)

Market implied 17.3%, PE stable at 17.4

Bear Case $39.81 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.8

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.6 to 21.7

Stabilization Target: $85.53 (+48.2%)

PE Expansion Potential: +48.2%

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Last updated: August 15, 2026 12:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:04 PM

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