What is the fair value of PATH stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for PATH to be between $12.73 and $13.80. The current price is $13.12.

What is the analyst price target for PATH?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for PATH is $15.50. This implies a potential upside of 18.1% from current levels.

UiPath (PATH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PATH - UiPath, Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$13.12

0.27 (2.10%) ▲

5d: -1.5%

30d: -2.02%

90d: +8.97%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Oct 19, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Dec 02, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 16, 2026 at $12.85 · last confirmed Oct 19, 2026

Strength: 7.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: PATH is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 13.4%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$20.44

Based on 8.7% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$12.69

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PATH is currently trading at $13.12, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.73 to $13.80. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.2) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2280.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PATH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.50 (+18.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $12.73 - $13.80

Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 70.0%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($15.50)
WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $12.73 - $13.80

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.73

Resistance Level $14.00

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Oct 19, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.20

Wall Street Target $15.50 (+18.1%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.4%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 2280.8%

Profit Margin 21.0%

Valuation Discount vs History -0.9% cheaper

PE vs Historical 17.2 vs 17.7 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -0.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $13.00 (-1%)

2-Year Target $12.88 (-2%)

3-Year Target $12.77 (-3%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→18) $13.14 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.4%) $22.11 (+69%)

Base: (SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: 13.4%) $19.15 (+46%)

Bear: (PE: 14.6, Growth: 13.4%) $16.27 (+24%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 20.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.67

Bull Case $17.17 (+34%)

Analyst growth 13.9%, PE expands to 22.5

Base Case $15.61 (+22%)

Market implied 13.9%, PE stable at 20.5

Bear Case $9.32 (-27%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.4

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.2 to 17.7

Stabilization Target: $13.50 (+2.9%)

PE Expansion Potential: +2.9%

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Last updated: October 19, 2026 5:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:05 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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