Is PATH stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, PATH is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PATH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of PATH stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for PATH to be between $11.56 and $15.32. The current price is $15.94.

What is the analyst price target for PATH?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for PATH is $13.44. This implies a potential upside of -14.9% from current levels.

PATH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PATH - UiPath, Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$15.94

0.16 (0.98%) ▲

5d: -4.47%

30d: +48.93%

90d: +47.96%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your PATH Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 20, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Sep 03, 2026 13d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $15.05 · last confirmed Aug 17, 2026

Strength: 8.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PATH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 13.4%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$20.10

Based on 8.7% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$12.48

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.4x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PATH is currently trading at $15.94, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.56 to $15.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.7) compared to its historical average (17.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PATH is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.16, while resistance sits at $16.82.

Market Sentiment: PATH scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $13.44. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $11.56 - $15.32

Company Quality Score 30/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 19.0%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Trading 14.9% above Wall St target ($13.44)
NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 5.9% growth expectation is conservative given 106% recent growth
WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $11.56 - $15.32

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $14.16

Resistance Level $16.82

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Aug 20, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.69

Wall Street Target $13.44 (-14.9%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 17.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 105.7%

Profit Margin 19.6%

Valuation Premium vs History +5.9% premium

PE vs Historical 20.7 vs 17.4 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +5.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $16.71 (+6%)

2-Year Target $17.70 (+12%)

3-Year Target $18.74 (+19%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→17) PE COMPRESSION $15.76 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.7, Growth: 13.4%) $23.03 (+46%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 13.4%) $22.34 (+42%)

Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 13.4%) $18.99 (+20%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 26.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.58

Bull Case $22.54 (+43%)

Analyst growth 31.5%, PE expands to 29.6

Base Case $20.49 (+30%)

Market implied 31.5%, PE stable at 26.9

Bear Case $10.59 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.8

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: August 20, 2026 2:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:16 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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NEUTRAL

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Advanced PATH Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PATH price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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