PFE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PFE - Pfizer Inc.

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$25.69
0.35 (1.38%) ▲
5d: -1.72%
30d: -2.87%
90d: -3.46%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 7.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PFE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.63
Based on -0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.92
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PFE is currently trading at $25.69, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.59 to $26.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (9.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PFE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.19 (+13.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $25.59 - $26.40
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 77.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($29.19)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $25.59 - $26.40
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $25.27
Resistance Level $26.54
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 4, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.06
Wall Street Target $29.19 (+13.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -10.1%
Profit Margin 11.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 9.1 vs 9.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $25.64 (0%)
2-Year Target $25.59 (0%)
3-Year Target $25.54 (-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→9) $25.66 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.9, Growth: -4.2%) $54.64 (+113%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: -4.2%) $22.58 (-12%)
Bear: (PE: 7.7, Growth: -4.2%) $19.19 (-25%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.31
Bull Case $55.75 (+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 21.3
Base Case $50.68 (+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 19.3
Bear Case $17.23 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 9.1
Stabilization Target: $25.82 (+0.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +0.5%
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Last updated: June 05, 2026 8:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:08 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. SELL 2026-03-13
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. BUY 2026-02-10
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-01-22

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