PNW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PNW - Pinnacle West Capital Corporation
$100.40
0.36 (0.36%)
▲
5d:
-1.08%
30d:
-7.89%
90d:
+0.57%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PNW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PNW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$183.87
Based on 11.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$114.17
12.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PNW is currently trading at $100.40, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $102.93 to $108.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.6) is in line with its historical norms (18.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PNW is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $98.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PNW scores 79/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PNW is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $98.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PNW scores 79/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$102.93 -
$108.50
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (79/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($105.79)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 79/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$102.93 -
$108.50
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$98.52
Resistance Level
$102.69
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.56
Wall Street Target
$105.79
(+6.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.5%
Profit Margin
11.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.6 vs 18.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$97.15
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$95.11
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$93.11
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$99.16
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 19.7%)
$196.19
(+98%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.6, Growth: 19.7%)
$170.28
(+72%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: 19.7%)
$144.74
(+46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.21
Bull Case
$120.55
(+20%)
Analyst growth 8.5%, PE expands to 21.3
Base Case
$109.59
(+9%)
Market implied 8.5%, PE stable at 19.4
Bear Case
$68.70
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.6 to 18.7
Stabilization Target:
$105.68
(+6.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 13, 2026 8:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PNW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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