Primoris Services (PRIM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PRIM - Primoris Services Corporation
$72.77
-2.84 (-3.76%)
▼
5d:
+11.9%
30d:
-4.56%
90d:
-17.16%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PRIM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PRIM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$199.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$123.69
41.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PRIM is currently trading at $72.77, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $70.17 to $80.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.0) compared to its historical average (19.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRIM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $62.41, while resistance sits at $76.70. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: PRIM scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.13 (+58.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRIM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $62.41, while resistance sits at $76.70. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: PRIM scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.13 (+58.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$70.17 -
$80.72
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (78/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 58.2% below Wall St target ($115.13)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 78/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$70.17 -
$80.72
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$62.41
Resistance Level
$76.70
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.01
Wall Street Target
$115.13
(+58.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.5%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 19.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.49
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$58.94
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$53.05
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→20)
$74.58
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 142.9%)
$348.06
(+378%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 142.9%)
$245.60
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 142.9%)
$208.76
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.56
Bull Case
$166.34
(+129%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 32.5
Base Case
$151.22
(+108%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 29.5
Bear Case
$51.41
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.0 to 19.7
Stabilization Target:
$102.30
(+40.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+40.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 31, 2026 11:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PRIM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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