SE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SE - Sea Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing one Class A Ordinary Share
$130.74
15.94 (13.89%)
▲
5d:
+17.32%
30d:
+18.15%
90d:
+54.05%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: SE is 17.2% above its trading range ($111.59). Market expects 4.4% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: SE is 17.2% above its trading range ($111.59). Market expects 4.4% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$196.32
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$121.90
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SE is currently trading at $130.74, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $103.66 to $111.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.9) compared to its historical average (19.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $115.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 13.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: SE scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $141.97 (+23.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $115.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 13.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: SE scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $141.97 (+23.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$103.66 -
$111.59
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+17.2% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+13.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 23.7% below Wall St target ($141.97)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$103.66 -
$111.59
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$102.81
Resistance Level
$115.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.86
Wall Street Target
$141.97
(+23.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
46.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
21.9 vs 19.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$119.85
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$125.12
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$130.63
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$114.71
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 35.6%)
$286.14
(+149%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 35.6%)
$264.76
(+131%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 35.6%)
$225.05
(+96%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 44.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.54
Bull Case
$249.55
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 49.1
Base Case
$226.86
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 44.7
Bear Case
$77.13
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 11, 2026 10:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gang Ye
SELL
10000 shares
2026-04-22
Yanjun Wang
SELL
800 shares
2026-04-22
Jingye Chen
SELL
800 shares
2026-04-22
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