SE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SE - Sea Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing one Class A Ordinary Share
$95.25
2.36 (2.54%)
▲
5d:
+0.06%
30d:
-11.55%
90d:
-13.93%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 10, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$198.81
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$123.44
22.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SE is currently trading at $95.25, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $96.62 to $109.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.3) is in line with its historical norms (19.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $92.25, while resistance sits at $99.90.
Market Sentiment: SE scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $154.93 (+62.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $92.25, while resistance sits at $99.90.
Market Sentiment: SE scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $154.93 (+62.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$96.62 -
$109.54
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 62.7% below Wall St target ($154.93)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 16% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$96.62 -
$109.54
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$92.25
Resistance Level
$99.90
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.29
Wall Street Target
$154.93
(+62.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
48.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Profit Margin
5.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.3 vs 19.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$93.06
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$90.92
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$88.83
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→20)
$95.21
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 32.7%)
$241.72
(+154%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 32.7%)
$222.57
(+134%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: 32.7%)
$189.18
(+99%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.59
Bull Case
$204.36
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 39.5
Base Case
$185.78
(+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 35.9
Bear Case
$63.17
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.3 to 19.6
Stabilization Target:
$102.09
(+7.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 10, 2026 12:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
18
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gang Ye
SELL
10000 shares
2026-04-22
Yanjun Wang
SELL
800 shares
2026-04-22
Jingye Chen
SELL
800 shares
2026-04-22
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