SE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SE - Sea Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing one Class A Ordinary Share
$83.40
-2.29 (-2.67%)
▼
5d:
-3.65%
30d:
-10.82%
90d:
-3.02%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SE trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SE trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$198.17
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$123.05
32.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SE is currently trading at $83.40, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.26 to $92.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.2) compared to its historical average (19.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $82.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $140.50 (+64.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $82.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $140.50 (+64.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$85.26 -
$92.14
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 64.0% below Wall St target ($140.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$85.26 -
$92.14
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$82.23
Resistance Level
$97.80
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.17
Wall Street Target
$140.50
(+64.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
46.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 19.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$80.89
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$76.36
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$72.09
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→19)
$85.61
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 35.0%)
$286.08
(+234%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 35.0%)
$211.00
(+146%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 35.0%)
$179.35
(+109%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.54
Bull Case
$186.71
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 36.8
Base Case
$169.74
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 33.4
Bear Case
$57.71
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.2 to 19.2
Stabilization Target:
$101.76
(+18.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 12, 2026 10:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gang Ye
SELL
10000 shares
2026-04-22
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SELL
800 shares
2026-04-22
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SELL
800 shares
2026-04-22
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