STM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STM - STMicroelectronics N.V.
$75.30
-3.65 (-4.62%)
▼
5d:
+2.7%
30d:
+22.62%
90d:
+122.85%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: STM trades at premium valuation expecting 11.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: STM trades at premium valuation expecting 11.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.69
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STM is currently trading at $75.30, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.48 to $76.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 31.6) compared to its historical average (22.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $67.73, while resistance sits at $81.42. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $63.69. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $67.73, while resistance sits at $81.42. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $63.69. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$62.48 -
$76.04
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding STM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.6%)
- BEARISH: Trading 19.3% above Wall St target ($63.69)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 11.5% growth with 23.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$62.48 -
$76.04
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.73
Resistance Level
$81.42
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 16, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.65
Wall Street Target
$63.69
(-19.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.3%
Profit Margin
1.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.5% premium
PE vs Historical
31.7 vs 22.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$88.03
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$98.15
(+24%)
3-Year Target
$109.44
(+39%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$78.84
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (59x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (32x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 59.17 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.33
Bull Case
$95.33
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 62.1
Base Case
$78.95
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 59.2
Bear Case
$60.40
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 53.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 16, 2026 2:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced STM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's STM price and gamma walls.
