What is the fair value of STM stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for STM to be between $45.83 and $54.18. The current price is $48.54.

What is the analyst price target for STM?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for STM is $71.62. This implies a potential upside of 47.6% from current levels.

STMicroelectronics (STM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

STM - STMicroelectronics N.V.

Semiconductors & Related Devices

$48.54

1.37 (2.90%) ▲

5d: -0.29%

30d: -15.85%

90d: -8.02%

BUY

MODERATE Confidence

Analysis Updated: Nov 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 29, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 29, 2026 at $49.45 · last confirmed Nov 3, 2026

Strength: 7.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% decline. Moderate conviction.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

STM is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today

SOXX Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 1.9% over the next 20 trading days; STM has been on it 2 days). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-11-03.

See all of today's Best Signals in the free scanner →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$108.27

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$67.22

27.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.6x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: STM is currently trading at $48.54, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.83 to $54.18. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.7) compared to its historical average (22.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, STM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $43.21, while resistance sits at $50.03.

Market Sentiment: STM scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.62 (+47.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $45.83 - $54.18

Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 83.3%

All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 47.6% below Wall St target ($71.62)
BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 65/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $45.83 - $54.18

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $43.21

Resistance Level $50.03

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Nov 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.73

Wall Street Target $71.63 (+47.6%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 17.9%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 19.2%

Profit Margin 3.8%

Valuation Discount vs History -4.4% cheaper

PE vs Historical 19.7 vs 22.6 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -4.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $46.40 (-4%)

2-Year Target $44.36 (-9%)

3-Year Target $42.41 (-13%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→23) $48.58 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 129.9%) $164.89 (+240%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.7, Growth: 129.9%) $163.82 (+238%)

Bear: (PE: 16.8, Growth: 129.9%) $139.25 (+187%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Forward PE: 17.83 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.72

Bull Case $58.61 (+21%)

Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.7

Base Case $48.54 (0%)

Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.8

Bear Case $37.13 (-24%)

Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 16.0

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.7 to 22.6

Stabilization Target: $55.60 (+14.5%)

PE Expansion Potential: +14.5%

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Last updated: November 04, 2026 9:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:19 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced STM Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's STM price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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