TGT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TGT - Target Corporation
$124.80
1.62 (1.32%)
▲
5d:
-2.75%
30d:
-2.32%
90d:
+3.93%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 19, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.9/10
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1 traders called TGT this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TGT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TGT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$136.45
Based on 4.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$84.72
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TGT is currently trading at $124.80, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $122.69 to $128.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.3) compared to its historical average (14.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $117.05, while resistance sits at $131.20.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $117.05, while resistance sits at $131.20.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$122.69 -
$128.68
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($131.66)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.0% growth with 6.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$122.69 -
$128.68
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$117.05
Resistance Level
$131.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.33
Wall Street Target
$131.66
(+5.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-24.7%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
16.3 vs 14.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$129.79
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$134.98
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$140.38
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$124.65
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 4.5%)
$191.34
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.3, Growth: 4.5%)
$142.61
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 4.5%)
$121.22
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.75
Bull Case
$139.20
(+8%)
Analyst growth -1.4%, PE expands to 18.2
Base Case
$126.54
(-2%)
Market implied -1.4%, PE stable at 16.6
Bear Case
$87.26
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 7:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TGT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Matthew A Liegel
SELL
2053 shares
2026-03-17
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
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