WMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WMT - Walmart Inc.
$114.78
0.88 (0.77%)
▲
5d:
+3.73%
30d:
-4.82%
90d:
-9.46%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.3/10
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11 traders called WMT this week
75% bullish • 7 bearish
75% bullish • 7 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WMT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WMT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.75
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WMT is currently trading at $114.78, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $112.84 to $119.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 38.7) is in line with its historical norms (41.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WMT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $112.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $138.59 (+20.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WMT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $112.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $138.59 (+20.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$112.84 -
$119.96
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.7% below Wall St target ($138.59)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$112.84 -
$119.96
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$112.73
Resistance Level
$120.89
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
38.70
Wall Street Target
$138.59
(+20.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.4%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
38.7 vs 41.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$112.37
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$110.01
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$107.70
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 39→41)
$114.65
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 38.7, Growth: 12.4%)
$162.94
(+42%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.4%)
$91.70
(-20%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 12.4%)
$77.94
(-32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (39x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.84
Bull Case
$130.84
(+14%)
Analyst growth 4.4%, PE expands to 44.1
Base Case
$118.94
(+4%)
Market implied 4.4%, PE stable at 40.1
Bear Case
$77.45
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 38.7 to 41.2
Stabilization Target:
$122.19
(+6.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 2:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
19416 shares
2026-04-23
Christopher James Nichol…
SELL
2900 shares
2026-04-16
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SELL
13125 shares
2026-04-16
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