WMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WMT - Walmart Inc.
$116.89
3.83 (3.39%)
▲
5d:
-1.39%
30d:
-10.31%
90d:
-8.54%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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14 traders called WMT this week
90% bullish • 4 bearish
90% bullish • 4 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WMT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: WMT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.75
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WMT is currently trading at $116.89, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $119.74 to $132.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 39.4) is in line with its historical norms (41.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WMT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $112.73, while resistance sits at $133.65. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: WMT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $137.93 (+18.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WMT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $112.73, while resistance sits at $133.65. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: WMT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $137.93 (+18.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$119.74 -
$132.72
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding WMT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($137.93)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$119.74 -
$132.72
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$112.73
Resistance Level
$133.65
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
39.41
Wall Street Target
$137.93
(+18.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.4%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
39.4 vs 41.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$114.79
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$112.72
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$110.69
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 39→42)
$116.83
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 39.4, Growth: 12.4%)
$165.94
(+42%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 12.4%)
$92.24
(-21%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 12.4%)
$78.41
(-33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (39x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.84
Bull Case
$136.17
(+15%)
Analyst growth 4.4%, PE expands to 45.9
Base Case
$123.79
(+4%)
Market implied 4.4%, PE stable at 41.7
Bear Case
$80.61
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 39.4 to 41.6
Stabilization Target:
$123.37
(+5.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 7:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
17
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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13125 shares
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