WPM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WPM - Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. Common Stock
$109.03
-4.35 (-3.84%)
▼
5d:
-2.2%
30d:
-2.16%
90d:
-13.78%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
2d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WPM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.6% annual earnings decline despite 129% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WPM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.6% annual earnings decline despite 129% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$185.80
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$115.37
5.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WPM is currently trading at $109.03, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $107.18 to $114.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.5) compared to its historical average (26.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 128.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WPM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $102.77, while resistance sits at $114.10. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: WPM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $172.25 (+58.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WPM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $102.77, while resistance sits at $114.10. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: WPM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $172.25 (+58.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$107.18 -
$114.63
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 58.0% below Wall St target ($172.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$107.18 -
$114.63
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$102.77
Resistance Level
$114.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.51
Wall Street Target
$172.25
(+58.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
91.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
128.8%
Profit Margin
65.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.5 vs 26.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$99.65
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$91.08
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$83.25
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→27)
$108.79
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 9.9%)
$146.10
(+34%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.5, Growth: 9.9%)
$144.53
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.4, Growth: 9.9%)
$122.85
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.10
Bull Case
$161.72
(+48%)
Analyst growth 29.7%, PE expands to 30.4
Base Case
$147.02
(+35%)
Market implied 29.7%, PE stable at 27.7
Bear Case
$77.10
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.5 to 26.8
Stabilization Target:
$142.48
(+30.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 10:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WPM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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