WPM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WPM - Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. Common Stock

Gold and Silver Ores
$109.03
-4.35 (-3.84%) ▼
5d: -2.2%
30d: -2.16%
90d: -13.78%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 2d
Smart Money Distribution

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Strength: 6.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WPM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.6% annual earnings decline despite 129% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$185.80
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$115.37
5.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WPM is currently trading at $109.03, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $107.18 to $114.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.5) compared to its historical average (26.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 128.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WPM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $102.77, while resistance sits at $114.10. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.

Market Sentiment: WPM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $172.25 (+58.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $107.18 - $114.63
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 85.7%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 58.0% below Wall St target ($172.25)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $107.18 - $114.63
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $102.77
Resistance Level $114.10
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jul 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.51
Wall Street Target $172.25 (+58.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 91.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 128.8%
Profit Margin 65.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -8.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 20.5 vs 26.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -8.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $99.65 (-9%)
2-Year Target $91.08 (-17%)
3-Year Target $83.25 (-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→27) $108.79 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.7, Growth: 9.9%) $146.10 (+34%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.5, Growth: 9.9%) $144.53 (+33%)
Bear: (PE: 17.4, Growth: 9.9%) $122.85 (+13%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.10
Bull Case $161.72 (+48%)
Analyst growth 29.7%, PE expands to 30.4
Base Case $147.02 (+35%)
Market implied 29.7%, PE stable at 27.7
Bear Case $77.10 (-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.5 to 26.8
Stabilization Target: $142.48 (+30.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +30.7%
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Last updated: August 02, 2026 10:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:29 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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NEUTRAL

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Advanced WPM Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WPM price and gamma walls.

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