AERO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$15.01
-0.19 (-1.25%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.72%
30d:
-3.6%
90d:
-12.58%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 12, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AERO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AERO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.94
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.07
28.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AERO is currently trading at $15.01, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.45 to $15.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.5) compared to its historical average (8.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AERO is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $14.28, while resistance sits at $16.19.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.82 (+78.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AERO is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $14.28, while resistance sits at $16.19.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.82 (+78.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$14.45 -
$15.85
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 78.7% below Wall St target ($26.82)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.45 -
$15.85
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.28
Resistance Level
$16.19
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.49
Wall Street Target
$26.82
(+78.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-56.3%
Profit Margin
3.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.5 vs 8.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.27
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$13.58
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$12.91
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7â9)
$14.99
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 101.3%)
$136.37
(+809%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.5, Growth: 101.3%)
$50.66
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.4, Growth: 101.3%)
$43.06
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 1.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.73
Bull Case
$8.36
(-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 1.2
Base Case
$7.60
(-49%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 1.1
Bear Case
$10.34
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 0.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.5 to 8.7
Stabilization Target:
$17.43
(+16.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 4:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AERO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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