AERO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$15.16
-0.05 (-0.33%)
âŧ
5d:
-5.13%
30d:
-2.7%
90d:
-0.66%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 19, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AERO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AERO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.83
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.42
1.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AERO is currently trading at $15.16, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.17 to $16.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.7) is in line with its historical norms (8.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AERO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.25, while resistance sits at $16.68.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.16 (+72.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AERO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.25, while resistance sits at $16.68.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.16 (+72.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$15.17 -
$16.18
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 72.5% below Wall St target ($26.16)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.1% growth with 13.6% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.17 -
$16.18
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.25
Resistance Level
$16.68
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.65
Wall Street Target
$26.16
(+72.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-57.1%
Profit Margin
2.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 8.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.18
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$15.19
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$15.21
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â9)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.12
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 17.2%)
$56.04
(+270%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 17.2%)
$24.41
(+61%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 17.2%)
$20.75
(+37%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 1.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.00
Bull Case
$8.37
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 1.7
Base Case
$7.60
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 1.5
Bear Case
$10.34
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 1.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 24, 2026 2:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AERO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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