AERO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$17.84
0.25 (1.42%)
▲
5d:
+3.48%
30d:
+11.43%
90d:
+35.77%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
27d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AERO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AERO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.78
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.97
14.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AERO is currently trading at $17.84, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.70 to $17.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (9.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AERO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $16.03, while resistance sits at $18.55.
Market Sentiment: AERO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.88 (+52.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AERO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $16.03, while resistance sits at $18.55.
Market Sentiment: AERO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.88 (+52.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$15.70 -
$17.53
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.8% below Wall St target ($26.88)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with 13.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.70 -
$17.53
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.03
Resistance Level
$18.55
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.13
Wall Street Target
$26.88
(+52.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-56.3%
Profit Margin
6.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 9.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.66
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$17.73
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$17.80
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.55
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 72.3%)
$141.67
(+705%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 72.3%)
$59.37
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 72.3%)
$50.46
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 0.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $22.46
Bull Case
$9.53
(-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 0.9
Base Case
$8.67
(-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 0.8
Bear Case
$11.79
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 0.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 12:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AERO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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