AERO
AERO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$16.55
-0.19 (-1.14%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.67%
30d:
+1.22%
90d:
+5.35%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (46%)
Quality Score
34/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$14.93 â $16.78
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.4x
FAIR
vs 8.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$26.16
+58.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$14.76 / $18.07
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AERO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.12
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.60
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AERO is currently trading at $16.55, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.93 to $16.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.4) is in line with its historical norms (8.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AERO is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $14.76, while resistance sits at $18.07.
Market Sentiment: AERO scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.16 (+58.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AERO is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $14.76, while resistance sits at $18.07.
Market Sentiment: AERO scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.16 (+58.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$14.93 -
$16.78
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$14.93 -
$16.78
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$14.76
Resistance Level
$18.07
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 58.0% below Wall St target ($26.16)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.9% growth with 13.6% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.44
Wall Street Target
$26.16
(+58.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.8%
Profit Margin
2.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 8.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.03
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$17.52
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$18.03
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â9)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.61
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 17.2%)
$56.04
(+239%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 17.2%)
$26.65
(+61%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 17.2%)
$22.65
(+37%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 1.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.00
Bull Case
$9.21
(-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 1.8
Base Case
$8.37
(-49%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 1.7
Bear Case
$11.38
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 1.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: November 14, 2026 5:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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Net
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