Amrize (AMRZ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMRZ - Amrize Ltd
$40.52
0.08 (0.20%)
▲
5d:
-7.93%
30d:
-12.62%
90d:
-22.57%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 8, 2026 at $41.95 · last confirmed Sep 8, 2026
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMRZ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMRZ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$82.57
Based on 10.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$51.27
21.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMRZ is currently trading at $40.52, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.33 to $48.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.9) compared to its historical average (17.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMRZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AMRZ scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.10 (+38.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMRZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AMRZ scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.10 (+38.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$42.33 -
$48.54
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMRZ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (21/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.5% below Wall St target ($56.10)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.33 -
$48.54
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.74
Resistance Level
$45.11
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.95
Wall Street Target
$56.11
(+38.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.7%
Profit Margin
10.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 17.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.64
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$34.97
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$32.49
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→17)
$40.54
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 16.8%)
$93.27
(+130%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.9, Growth: 16.8%)
$64.49
(+59%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 16.8%)
$54.81
(+35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.20
Bull Case
$58.75
(+45%)
Analyst growth 32.1%, PE expands to 20.2
Base Case
$53.41
(+32%)
Market implied 32.1%, PE stable at 18.4
Bear Case
$27.50
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.9 to 17.4
Stabilization Target:
$50.56
(+24.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 12:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMRZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced AMRZ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMRZ price and gamma walls.