AMRZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMRZ - Amrize Ltd
$53.85
-0.50 (-0.92%)
▼
5d:
+1.41%
30d:
+5.77%
90d:
-14.16%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AMRZ shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AMRZ shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$91.02
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.52
4.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMRZ is currently trading at $53.85, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.25 to $55.11. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.2) is in line with its historical norms (18.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMRZ is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AMRZ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.91 (+20.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMRZ is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AMRZ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.91 (+20.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$50.25 -
$55.11
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.5% below Wall St target ($64.91)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$50.25 -
$55.11
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.80
Resistance Level
$54.68
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.22
Wall Street Target
$64.91
(+20.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Profit Margin
9.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.2 vs 18.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.93
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$52.03
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$51.15
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→18)
$53.77
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 16.1%)
$107.33
(+99%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: 16.1%)
$84.35
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: 16.1%)
$71.70
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.09
Bull Case
$87.43
(+65%)
Analyst growth 49.7%, PE expands to 28.0
Base Case
$79.48
(+50%)
Market implied 49.7%, PE stable at 25.4
Bear Case
$36.11
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.2 to 18.1
Stabilization Target:
$56.60
(+5.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 11:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMRZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
8
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Roald Brouwer
BUY
2000 shares
2026-03-13
Mario Gross
BUY
3200 shares
2026-03-13
Jaime Hill
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-11
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