AMRZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMRZ - Amrize Ltd
$50.11
1.01 (2.06%)
▲
5d:
-1.63%
30d:
-4.24%
90d:
-15.41%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
21d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.2/10
Get Alerted When AMRZ Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AMRZ trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AMRZ trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$88.63
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$55.03
8.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMRZ is currently trading at $50.11, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.05 to $54.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.8) compared to its historical average (17.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMRZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $49.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $63.16 (+28.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMRZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $49.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $63.16 (+28.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$51.05 -
$54.85
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.6% below Wall St target ($63.16)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$51.05 -
$54.85
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.01
Resistance Level
$54.35
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.81
Wall Street Target
$63.16
(+28.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Profit Margin
9.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.8 vs 17.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.09
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$45.16
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$43.30
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$49.04
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.7%)
$104.87
(+114%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.8, Growth: 15.7%)
$76.10
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 15.7%)
$64.69
(+32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.09
Bull Case
$82.98
(+69%)
Analyst growth 48.6%, PE expands to 26.7
Base Case
$75.44
(+54%)
Market implied 48.6%, PE stable at 24.3
Bear Case
$34.51
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.8 to 17.9
Stabilization Target:
$55.61
(+13.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 11:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:25 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AMRZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
8
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Roald Brouwer
BUY
2000 shares
2026-03-13
Mario Gross
BUY
3200 shares
2026-03-13
Jaime Hill
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-11
Top Rated Building Materials Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Building Materials by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CRH
CRH PLC ADR |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$143 | 51 HOLD |
|
VMC
Vulcan Materials Company |
BUY
23 analysts |
$327 | 56 HOLD |
|
MLM
Martin Marietta Material… |
BUY
23 analysts |
$682 | 55 HOLD |
|
CX
Cemex SAB de CV ADR |
BUY
15 analysts |
$14 | 54 HOLD |
|
KNF
Knife River Corporation |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$103 | 52 HOLD |
Advanced AMRZ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMRZ price and gamma walls.