AMRZ
Amrize Ltd
CEMENT, HYDRAULIC
Amrize (AMRZ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$40.83
-0.80 (-1.92%)
âŧ
5d:
-4.27%
30d:
+12.51%
90d:
-12.55%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
0d
Protect AMRZ Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (63%)
Quality Score
52/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$37.07 â $41.94
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.1x
FAIR
vs 16.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$45.02
+10.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$40.82 / $44.65
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AMRZ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$61.32
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.07
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMRZ is currently trading at $40.83, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.07 to $41.94. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.1) is in line with its historical norms (16.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMRZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $40.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.02 (+10.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMRZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $40.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.02 (+10.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$37.07 -
$41.94
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$37.07 -
$41.94
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$40.82
Resistance Level
$44.65
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMRZ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($45.02)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.07
Wall Street Target
$45.02
(+10.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.1%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.1 vs 16.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.22
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$39.61
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$39.02
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16â17)
$40.78
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.1%)
$69.26
(+70%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.1, Growth: 11.1%)
$56.06
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 11.1%)
$47.65
(+17%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.23
Bull Case
$52.16
(+28%)
Analyst growth 13.9%, PE expands to 20.5
Base Case
$47.42
(+16%)
Market implied 13.9%, PE stable at 18.7
Bear Case
$28.31
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.1 to 16.8
Stabilization Target:
$42.67
(+4.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AMRZ)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Sep 21, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits messages indicate bullish sentiment towards $AMRZ, with one trader expressing optimism about the stock and suggesting a small investment. No recent news articles were available.
Key Retail Themes:
Bullish sentiment
Lack of bearish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
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Last updated: November 13, 2026 4:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:00 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
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