AMRZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMRZ - Amrize Ltd
$51.08
2.17 (4.44%)
▲
5d:
+2.24%
30d:
-4.77%
90d:
-4.31%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
1d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AMRZ shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AMRZ shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$87.75
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.49
6.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMRZ is currently trading at $51.08, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.81 to $53.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.5) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMRZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $51.19. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $63.00 (+23.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMRZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $51.19. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $63.00 (+23.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$48.81 -
$53.01
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 23.3% below Wall St target ($63.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$48.81 -
$53.01
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.19
Resistance Level
$51.19
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.46
Wall Street Target
$63.00
(+23.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Profit Margin
9.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.5 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.80
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$48.56
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$47.34
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$50.91
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 15.8%)
$99.77
(+95%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: 15.8%)
$79.22
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.0, Growth: 15.8%)
$67.33
(+32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.09
Bull Case
$79.89
(+56%)
Analyst growth 48.5%, PE expands to 25.7
Base Case
$72.63
(+42%)
Market implied 48.5%, PE stable at 23.4
Bear Case
$33.26
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.5 to 17.7
Stabilization Target:
$54.93
(+7.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 8:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMRZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
8
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Roald Brouwer
BUY
2000 shares
2026-03-13
Mario Gross
BUY
3200 shares
2026-03-13
Jaime Hill
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-11
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