Amrize (AMRZ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMRZ - Amrize Ltd
$37.26
0.01 (0.03%)
▲
5d:
-2.51%
30d:
-13.29%
90d:
-31.01%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMRZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AMRZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$71.34
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.29
15.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMRZ is currently trading at $37.26, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.75 to $43.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.4) compared to its historical average (17.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMRZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AMRZ scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.27 (+37.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMRZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AMRZ scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.27 (+37.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$37.75 -
$43.34
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMRZ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (76/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.6% below Wall St target ($51.27)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 29% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.75 -
$43.34
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.55
Resistance Level
$40.05
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.40
Wall Street Target
$51.27
(+37.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.7%
Profit Margin
10.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 17.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.35
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$31.67
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$29.20
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→17)
$37.26
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 13.0%)
$81.89
(+120%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 13.0%)
$53.80
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 13.0%)
$45.73
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.22
Bull Case
$51.32
(+38%)
Analyst growth 25.2%, PE expands to 18.5
Base Case
$46.65
(+25%)
Market implied 25.2%, PE stable at 16.8
Bear Case
$25.33
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.4 to 17.1
Stabilization Target:
$47.54
(+27.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 7:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMRZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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