Amrize (AMRZ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMRZ - Amrize Ltd
$39.44
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+4.28%
30d:
+5.94%
90d:
-21.06%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMRZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AMRZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.72
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.43
4.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMRZ is currently trading at $39.44, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.77 to $38.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.6) compared to its historical average (16.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMRZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.62 (+18.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMRZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.62 (+18.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$36.77 -
$38.80
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMRZ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($46.62)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (43/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.77 -
$38.80
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.79
Resistance Level
$40.16
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.59
Wall Street Target
$46.62
(+18.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.7%
Profit Margin
10.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 16.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.59
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$35.82
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$34.14
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→17)
$39.55
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.8%)
$75.06
(+90%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 11.8%)
$55.13
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 11.8%)
$46.86
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.19
Bull Case
$53.56
(+36%)
Analyst growth 23.5%, PE expands to 19.8
Base Case
$48.69
(+24%)
Market implied 23.5%, PE stable at 18.0
Bear Case
$26.82
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.6 to 16.9
Stabilization Target:
$45.69
(+15.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 9:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMRZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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