AXL
American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc.
MOTOR VEHICLE PARTS & ACCESSORIES
Best Auto Parts Stocks 2026 →
AXL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$9.00
+0.78 (+9.49%)
â˛
5d:
+11.94%
30d:
+40.19%
90d:
+41.29%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: May 01, 2026
0d
Protect AXL Gains
Updated Feb 4, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (82%)
Quality Score
41/100
Position
FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.9x
STRETCHED
vs 10.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$9.78
+8.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
UNKNOWN Vol
UNKNOWN volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$7.72 / $9.00
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AXL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 6.2% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Get Alerted When AXL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.69
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.12
1.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AXL is currently trading at $9.00, which is considered fair based on recent price action. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.9) compared to its historical average (10.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 9.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: AXL scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 9.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: AXL scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
81.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
Support Level
$7.72
Resistance Level
$9.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Feb 4, 2026
Protect Your Profits
AXL is technically overbought (RSI 76). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+9.5%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($9.78)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.2% growth with None% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.88
Wall Street Target
$9.78
(+8.6%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.5%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.2% premium
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 10.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.56
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$10.15
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$10.78
(+20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â11)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.04
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 56.2%)
$52.58
(+484%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 56.2%)
$30.38
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 56.2%)
$25.46
(+183%)
Share AXL Analysis
Share this live AXL analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AXL)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jan 24, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Millennium International Management LP disclosed a 5.78% ownership stake in American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. with 6,860,225 common shares and 6,225,147 stock-settled derivatives.
Key Retail Themes:
Owner-ship disclosure
Millennium International Management LP's investment in American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 1:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:17 PM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AXL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Auto Parts Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Auto Parts by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AZO
AutoZone Inc |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$3666 | 51 HOLD |
|
ORLY
OâReilly Automotive Inc |
STRONG BUY
29 analysts |
$106 | 44 HOLD |
|
APTV
Aptiv PLC |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$59 | 60 BUY |
|
HSAI
Hesai Group Sponsored ADR |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$26 | 42 HOLD |
|
MBLY
Mobileye Global Inc. ClaâĻ |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$9 | 55 HOLD |
Advanced AXL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AXL price and gamma walls.
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive AXL Research Pages
