Baytex Energy (BTE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BTE - Baytex Energy Corp.
$5.53
0.03 (0.55%)
▲
5d:
+2.41%
30d:
+22.08%
90d:
+37.91%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 26, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BTE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BTE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.90
Based on -1.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.91
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BTE is currently trading at $5.53, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.54 to $5.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.2) compared to its historical average (15.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BTE scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.69 (+21.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BTE scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.69 (+21.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$4.54 -
$5.23
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.7% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.0% below Wall St target ($6.69)
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.54 -
$5.23
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.87
Resistance Level
$5.56
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 26, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.24
Wall Street Target
$6.69
(+21.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
51.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.1%
Profit Margin
-42.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 15.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.98
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$4.48
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$4.03
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→16)
$6.22
(+13%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -6.9%)
$8.66
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: -6.9%)
$4.46
(-19%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: -6.9%)
$3.79
(-31%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.2 to 15.8
Stabilization Target:
$8.53
(+54.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+54.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 27, 2026 8:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BTE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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