CALIX (CALX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$32.55
+0.31 (+0.96%)
▲
5d:
-3.84%
30d:
-10.36%
90d:
-18.3%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (87%)
Quality Score
56/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$33.44 – $37.58
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.2x
CHEAP
vs 19.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$57.67
+78.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
32th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$30.55 / $38.40
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CALX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 12.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$92.78
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.61
43.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CALX is currently trading at $32.55, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.44 to $37.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.2) compared to its historical average (19.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CALX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $30.55, while resistance sits at $38.40.
Market Sentiment: CALX scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.67 (+78.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CALX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $30.55, while resistance sits at $38.40.
Market Sentiment: CALX scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.67 (+78.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$33.44 -
$37.58
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
32th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$33.44 -
$37.58
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.48
(7.6%)
Support Level
$30.55
Resistance Level
$38.40
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 32th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (66/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 78.9% below Wall St target ($57.67)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 66/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.19
Wall Street Target
$57.67
(+78.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-27.3%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 19.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.02
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$26.11
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$23.50
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→20)
$34.73
(+8%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 39.7%)
$132.17
(+310%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 39.7%)
$87.81
(+172%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 39.7%)
$74.64
(+132%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 46.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.69
Bull Case
$70.75
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 51.3
Base Case
$64.32
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 46.6
Bear Case
$21.87
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.2 to 19.5
Stabilization Target:
$47.65
(+47.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+47.8%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CALX)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Calix Inc (CALX) reported record revenue and software growth in Q3 2026, with non-GAAP EPS guidance implying 30% annual growth.
Key Retail Themes:
Record revenue and software growth
Strong operating discipline and expenses
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 2:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CALX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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