CALX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CALX - CALIX, INC.
$36.36
-1.11 (-2.96%)
▼
5d:
-5.14%
30d:
-5.36%
90d:
-30.8%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 20, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CALX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CALX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.20
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.80
46.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CALX is currently trading at $36.36, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.65 to $39.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.0) compared to its historical average (22.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CALX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.00 (+76.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CALX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.00 (+76.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$37.65 -
$39.89
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CALX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 76.1% below Wall St target ($66.00)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.1% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.65 -
$39.89
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.87
Resistance Level
$40.16
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.97
Wall Street Target
$66.00
(+76.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-98.9%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 22.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.72
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$30.35
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$27.32
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→22)
$40.88
(+9%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 40.9%)
$152.40
(+307%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 40.9%)
$104.73
(+180%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 40.9%)
$89.02
(+138%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 21.46 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.75
Bull Case
$45.25
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 22.5
Base Case
$37.47
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 21.5
Bear Case
$28.66
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 19.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.0 to 22.4
Stabilization Target:
$56.07
(+49.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+49.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CALX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CALX price and gamma walls.
