CALIX (CALX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CALX - CALIX, INC.
$35.24
0.31 (0.89%)
▲
5d:
-4.94%
30d:
-11.68%
90d:
-8.61%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CALX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CALX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$91.91
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.07
38.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CALX is currently trading at $35.24, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.05 to $39.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.3) compared to its historical average (20.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CALX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $33.95, while resistance sits at $38.65.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $62.33 (+76.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CALX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $33.95, while resistance sits at $38.65.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $62.33 (+76.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$37.05 -
$39.87
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CALX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 76.9% below Wall St target ($62.33)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.05 -
$39.87
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.95
Resistance Level
$38.65
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.31
Wall Street Target
$62.33
(+76.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-98.9%
Profit Margin
4.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 20.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.00
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$29.05
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$26.38
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→21)
$35.33
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 33.7%)
$111.04
(+215%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 33.7%)
$84.27
(+139%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 33.7%)
$71.63
(+103%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.77
Bull Case
$76.85
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 49.9
Base Case
$69.86
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 45.4
Bear Case
$23.75
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.3 to 20.5
Stabilization Target:
$47.20
(+33.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CALX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CALX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CALX price and gamma walls.
