CIVI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CIVI - Civitas Resources, Inc.
$27.38
-0.38 (-1.37%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.48%
30d:
+0.74%
90d:
-3.01%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jan 29, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CIVI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CIVI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.34
Based on -9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CIVI is currently trading at $27.38, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.8) is in line with its historical norms (5.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CIVI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $25.83, while resistance sits at $29.20.
Market Sentiment: CIVI scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.08 (+31.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CIVI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $25.83, while resistance sits at $29.20.
Market Sentiment: CIVI scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.08 (+31.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: Trading 31.8% below Wall St target ($36.08)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.5% growth with -8.2% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.83
Resistance Level
$29.20
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jan 29, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.76
Wall Street Target
$36.08
(+31.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.9%
Profit Margin
13.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
5.8 vs 5.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.52
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$27.65
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$27.79
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6â6)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.52
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -22.3%)
$77.33
(+182%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.8, Growth: -22.3%)
$19.96
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.9, Growth: -22.3%)
$16.97
(-38%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 6:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CIVI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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