Civitas Resources (CIVI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$27.38
-0.38 (-1.37%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.48%
30d:
+0.74%
90d:
-3.01%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (82%)
Quality Score
50/100
Position
FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
5.8x
FAIR
vs 5.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$36.08
+31.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
UNKNOWN Vol
UNKNOWN volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$25.83 / $29.20
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CIVI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.34
Based on -9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CIVI is currently trading at $27.38, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.8) is in line with its historical norms (5.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CIVI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $25.83, while resistance sits at $29.20.
Market Sentiment: CIVI scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.08 (+31.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CIVI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $25.83, while resistance sits at $29.20.
Market Sentiment: CIVI scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.08 (+31.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
81.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
Support Level
$25.83
Resistance Level
$29.20
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jan 29, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: Trading 31.8% below Wall St target ($36.08)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.5% growth with -8.2% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.76
Wall Street Target
$36.08
(+31.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.9%
Profit Margin
13.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
5.8 vs 5.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.52
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$27.65
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$27.79
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6â6)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.52
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -22.3%)
$77.33
(+182%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.8, Growth: -22.3%)
$19.96
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.9, Growth: -22.3%)
$16.97
(-38%)
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CIVI)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jan 30, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits user increased their position in $CIVI, citing uncertain times leading them to reduce tech stocks and buy dividend stocks like $CIVI, with the only major risk being high interest rates.
Key Retail Themes:
Market uncertainty
Stock selection
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CIVI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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