Copart (CPRT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CPRT - Copart Inc

RETAIL-AUTO DEALERS & GASOLINE STATIONS
$29.09
1.50 (5.46%) ▲
5d: +4.83%
30d: +0.78%
90d: +4.12%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Protect Your CPRT Gains
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 19, 2026 27d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 21, 2026 at $28.25 · last confirmed Oct 22, 2026

Strength: 7.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: CPRT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.50
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.11
3.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CPRT is currently trading at $29.09, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.68 to $29.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.6) compared to its historical average (19.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CPRT is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.00 (+34.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $26.68 - $29.42
Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 70.0%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.5%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 34.1% below Wall St target ($39.00)
  • WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $26.68 - $29.42
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $25.72
Resistance Level $29.28
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.62
Wall Street Target $39.00 (+34.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -15.0%
Profit Margin 31.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 16.6 vs 19.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $27.58 (-5%)
2-Year Target $26.14 (-10%)
3-Year Target $24.78 (-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→20) $29.08 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.6%) $47.05 (+62%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: 10.6%) $39.36 (+35%)
Bear: (PE: 14.1, Growth: 10.6%) $33.46 (+15%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.55
Bull Case $34.27 (+18%)
Analyst growth 12.9%, PE expands to 19.6
Base Case $31.16 (+7%)
Market implied 12.9%, PE stable at 17.8
Bear Case $18.76 (-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.6 to 19.5
Stabilization Target: $34.14 (+17.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +17.3%
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Last updated: October 22, 2026 6:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:47 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced CPRT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CPRT price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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