Circle Internet Group (CRCL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$64.98
-2.58 (-3.82%)
▼
5d:
-13.61%
30d:
-22.52%
90d:
-8.84%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (52%)
Quality Score
45/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$73.26 – $86.04
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
49.9x
CHEAP
vs 58.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$102.87
+58.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$63.56 / $82.04
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CRCL is down 13.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 6, 2026 at $66.93 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.98
Based on 3.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.20
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRCL is currently trading at $64.98, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.26 to $86.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 49.9) compared to its historical average (58.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 32.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRCL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $63.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: CRCL scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.87 (+58.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRCL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $63.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: CRCL scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.87 (+58.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$73.26 -
$86.04
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$73.26 -
$86.04
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$63.56
Resistance Level
$82.04
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding CRCL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 58.3% below Wall St target ($102.87)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
49.85
Wall Street Target
$102.87
(+58.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.1%
Profit Margin
15.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
49.9 vs 58.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.67
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$58.52
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$55.54
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 50→58)
$64.94
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 49.9, Growth: 3.3%)
$71.59
(+10%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 3.3%)
$28.52
(-56%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 3.3%)
$24.24
(-63%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 40.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.66
Bull Case
$58.35
(-10%)
Analyst growth -21.5%, PE expands to 44.8
Base Case
$53.05
(-18%)
Market implied -21.5%, PE stable at 40.7
Bear Case
$45.94
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 49.9 to 58.3
Stabilization Target:
$75.99
(+16.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CRCL)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
The recent sell-off in financial technology stocks has highlighted the different risks for Coinbase and SoFi, with Coinbase's exposure to cryptocurrency markets and SoFi's traditional banking business.
Key Retail Themes:
Coinbase's diversification efforts
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Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
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Last updated: November 10, 2026 9:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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