Circle Internet Group (CRCL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRCL - Circle Internet Group, Inc.
$82.91
0.74 (0.90%)
▲
5d:
-10.85%
30d:
-7.34%
90d:
+28.3%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CRCL is down 10.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CRCL is down 10.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.60
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.97
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRCL is currently trading at $82.91, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.20 to $96.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 59.7) is in line with its historical norms (58.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRCL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $81.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.02 (+26.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRCL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $81.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.02 (+26.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$85.20 -
$96.12
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CRCL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.7% below Wall St target ($105.02)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with 6.6% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$85.20 -
$96.12
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$81.30
Resistance Level
$99.97
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
59.71
Wall Street Target
$105.02
(+26.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-80.9%
Profit Margin
15.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
59.7 vs 58.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$83.41
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$83.91
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$84.41
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 60→59)
PE COMPRESSION
$82.84
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 59.7, Growth: 29.3%)
$179.41
(+116%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 29.3%)
$61.29
(-26%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 29.3%)
$52.10
(-37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 16.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.90
Bull Case
$45.19
(-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 18.5
Base Case
$41.09
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 16.8
Bear Case
$55.88
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 01, 2026 8:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRCL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
10000 shares
2026-04-21
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SELL
15000 shares
2026-04-13
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1273 shares
2026-04-07
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CRCL price and gamma walls.
