GS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GS - Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

SECURITY BROKERS, DEALERS & FLOTATION COMPANIES
$1062.75
27.11 (2.62%) ▲
5d: +2.32%
30d: +11.23%
90d: +35.87%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 14, 2026 29d
Smart Money Distribution

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Strength: 5.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1334.84
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$828.83
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GS is currently trading at $1062.75, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $939.68 to $1040.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.2) compared to its historical average (14.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $974.42, while resistance sits at $1098.36.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $947.60. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $939.68 - $1040.64
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 42.4%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 10.8% above Wall St target ($947.60)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $939.68 - $1040.64
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $974.42
Resistance Level $1098.36
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.25
Wall Street Target $947.60 (-10.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 24.2%
Profit Margin 29.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.9% premium
PE vs Historical 16.3 vs 14.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $1104.20 (+4%)
2-Year Target $1147.26 (+8%)
3-Year Target $1192.00 (+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→15) PE COMPRESSION $1063.62 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.9, Growth: 10.2%) $1916.69 (+80%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.3, Growth: 10.2%) $1420.93 (+34%)
Bear: (PE: 13.8, Growth: 10.2%) $1207.79 (+14%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $54.79
Bull Case $1359.79 (+28%)
Analyst growth 19.4%, PE expands to 20.8
Base Case $1236.17 (+16%)
Market implied 19.4%, PE stable at 18.9
Bear Case $704.24 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 14, 2026 11:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:24 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
18
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Alex S Golten SELL 1116 shares 2026-04-23
Alex S Golten SELL 1115 shares 2026-04-17
Maria Elvira Salazar BUY 2026-03-19

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