CXW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CXW - CoreCivic, Inc.
$31.43
-0.46 (-1.44%)
▼
5d:
+3.32%
30d:
+18.83%
90d:
+57.78%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
22d
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1 traders called CXW this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CXW trades at premium valuation expecting 9.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: CXW trades at premium valuation expecting 9.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.15
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.66
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CXW is currently trading at $31.43, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.50 to $30.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.7) compared to its historical average (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CXW is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.40 (+15.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CXW is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.40 (+15.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$24.50 -
$30.85
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($36.40)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.7% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.50 -
$30.85
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.77
Resistance Level
$25.40
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.72
Wall Street Target
$36.40
(+15.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
65.7%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.7% premium
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 11.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.48
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$37.82
(+20%)
3-Year Target
$41.49
(+32%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$31.29
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 30.4%)
$103.06
(+228%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 30.4%)
$69.66
(+122%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 30.4%)
$52.53
(+67%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.26
Bull Case
$58.30
(+83%)
Analyst growth 69.4%, PE expands to 27.3
Base Case
$53.00
(+66%)
Market implied 69.4%, PE stable at 24.8
Bear Case
$21.27
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CXW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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