ERIC
Ericsson American Depositary Shares
Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment
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Ericsson (ERIC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$10.63
-0.01 (-0.09%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.89%
30d:
+9.47%
90d:
+3.51%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (66%)
Quality Score
41/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$9.75 â $11.00
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.9x
FAIR
vs 16.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$9.52
-10.5% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$10.23 / $11.21
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ERIC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.50
Based on 0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.52
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ERIC is currently trading at $10.63, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.75 to $11.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.9) is in line with its historical norms (16.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ERIC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.23, while resistance sits at $11.21.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $9.52. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ERIC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.23, while resistance sits at $11.21.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $9.52. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.75 -
$11.00
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$9.75 -
$11.00
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$10.23
Resistance Level
$11.21
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 10.5% above Wall St target ($9.52)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.5% growth with 5.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.85
Wall Street Target
$9.52
(-10.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-46.8%
Profit Margin
8.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
16.9 vs 16.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.68
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$10.74
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$10.79
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17â17)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.63
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -3.8%)
$11.16
(+5%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: -3.8%)
$9.47
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: -3.8%)
$8.05
(-24%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.62
Bull Case
$11.91
(+12%)
Analyst growth 1.7%, PE expands to 18.9
Base Case
$10.82
(+2%)
Market implied 1.7%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case
$7.24
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ERIC)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Aug 14, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on ERIC are bearish (sentiment score -0.89) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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