GPC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPC - Genuine Parts Company
$123.52
-2.10 (-1.67%)
▼
5d:
-4.0%
30d:
+25.49%
90d:
+14.89%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 21, 2026
7d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GPC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GPC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$158.68
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$98.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPC is currently trading at $123.52, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.31 to $121.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.7) is in line with its historical norms (13.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $101.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GPC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $101.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GPC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$99.31 -
$121.24
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($134.62)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.2% growth with 6.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$99.31 -
$121.24
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$96.07
Resistance Level
$101.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.71
Wall Street Target
$134.63
(+9.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.1%
Profit Margin
0.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 13.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$126.24
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$129.01
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$131.85
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$123.72
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.0%)
$236.71
(+92%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 9.0%)
$159.85
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 9.0%)
$135.87
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 16.10 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.80
Bull Case
$151.69
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 16.9
Base Case
$125.62
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 16.1
Bear Case
$96.10
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 14.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Michael T. McCaul
BUY
2026-02-20
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