GPC
Genuine Parts Company
WHOLESALE-MOTOR VEHICLE SUPPLIES & NEW PARTS
Best Auto Parts Stocks 2026 →
Genuine Parts (GPC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$122.48
-2.23 (-1.79%)
▼
5d:
-3.1%
30d:
-6.3%
90d:
-9.51%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
60/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$122.47 – $129.54
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.3x
FAIR
vs 14.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$140.00
+12.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
29th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$120.29 / $129.84
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
🚀 STRONG BUY: GPC shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 29th percentile) and market pricing in only 2.0% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
GPC is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today
SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; GPC has been on it 1 day). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-11-10.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$153.85
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$95.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPC is currently trading at $122.48, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $122.47 to $129.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.3) is in line with its historical norms (14.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $120.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GPC scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (29th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $140.00 (+12.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $120.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GPC scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (29th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $140.00 (+12.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$122.47 -
$129.54
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
29th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
91.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$122.47 -
$129.54
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$5.09
(4.2%)
Support Level
$120.29
Resistance Level
$129.84
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 29th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($140.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 74/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.32
Wall Street Target
$140.00
(+12.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.2%
Profit Margin
0.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 14.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$127.20
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$129.75
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$132.34
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$124.36
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.2%)
$199.37
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 7.2%)
$153.83
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 7.2%)
$130.76
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 15.17 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.22
Bull Case
$150.59
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.9
Base Case
$124.71
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 15.2
Bear Case
$95.40
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (GPC)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 20, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment prevails on $GPC with one trader expressing tiredness in the stock on StockTwits.
Key Retail Themes:
bearish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 10:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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