GPC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPC - Genuine Parts Company
$124.37
-0.46 (-0.37%)
▼
5d:
+0.13%
30d:
+5.94%
90d:
+15.98%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.9/10
Get Alerted When GPC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GPC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GPC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$152.00
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$94.38
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPC is currently trading at $124.37, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $114.65 to $128.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.0) is in line with its historical norms (13.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $109.50, while resistance sits at $132.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $137.88 (+10.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $109.50, while resistance sits at $132.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $137.88 (+10.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$114.65 -
$128.25
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GPC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($137.88)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.6% growth with 6.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$114.65 -
$128.25
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$109.50
Resistance Level
$132.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.97
Wall Street Target
$137.88
(+10.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.8%
Profit Margin
0.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.6% premium
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 13.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$127.60
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$130.92
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$134.33
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$124.76
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 7.3%)
$212.98
(+71%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 7.3%)
$153.76
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 7.3%)
$130.69
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 16.78 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.41
Bull Case
$150.18
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 17.6
Base Case
$124.37
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 16.8
Bear Case
$95.14
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 9:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:48 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Michael T. McCaul
BUY
2026-02-20
Top Rated Auto Parts Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Auto Parts by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AZO
AutoZone Inc |
STRONG BUY
29 analysts |
$3962 | 47 HOLD |
|
ORLY
O’Reilly Automotive Inc |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$108 | 51 HOLD |
|
APTV
Aptiv PLC |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$78 | 56 HOLD |
|
MBLY
Mobileye Global Inc. Cla… |
BUY
28 analysts |
$12 | 47 HOLD |
|
HSAI
Hesai Group Sponsored ADR |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$30 | 58 HOLD |
Advanced GPC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GPC price and gamma walls.
