GPC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPC - Genuine Parts Company
$106.61
1.50 (1.42%)
▲
5d:
+1.88%
30d:
+9.2%
90d:
+5.49%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GPC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GPC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$157.53
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$97.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPC is currently trading at $106.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $95.17 to $103.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.5) is in line with its historical norms (13.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $101.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GPC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $134.00 (+27.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $101.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GPC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $134.00 (+27.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$95.17 -
$103.60
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.5% below Wall St target ($134.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$95.17 -
$103.60
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$96.07
Resistance Level
$101.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.52
Wall Street Target
$134.00
(+27.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.1%
Profit Margin
0.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 13.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$101.85
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$98.69
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$95.63
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$104.68
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.0%)
$236.71
(+125%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 9.0%)
$136.02
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 9.0%)
$115.62
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 14.03 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.49
Bull Case
$126.92
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.7
Base Case
$105.11
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case
$80.41
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.5 to 13.7
Stabilization Target:
$115.06
(+9.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:14 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is GPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Michael T. McCaul
BUY
2026-02-20
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