Genuine Parts (GPC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPC - Genuine Parts Company
$124.78
1.26 (1.02%)
▲
5d:
-5.2%
30d:
-3.71%
90d:
+3.94%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GPC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GPC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$157.91
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$98.05
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPC is currently trading at $124.78, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $126.00 to $131.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.2) is in line with its historical norms (14.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $120.58, while resistance sits at $135.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $139.67 (+11.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $120.58, while resistance sits at $135.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $139.67 (+11.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$126.00 -
$131.33
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($139.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.7% growth with 6.0% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (51/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.2%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$126.00 -
$131.33
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$120.58
Resistance Level
$135.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.15
Wall Street Target
$139.67
(+11.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.8%
Profit Margin
0.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
15.2 vs 14.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$126.90
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$129.06
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$131.25
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$124.76
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.8%)
$204.75
(+64%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: 7.8%)
$156.19
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 7.8%)
$132.76
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 15.36 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.12
Bull Case
$150.67
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 16.1
Base Case
$124.78
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 15.4
Bear Case
$95.46
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 9:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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