GPC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPC - Genuine Parts Company
$133.96
1.04 (0.78%)
â˛
5d:
-0.79%
30d:
+11.59%
90d:
+37.23%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GPC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GPC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$154.09
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$95.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPC is currently trading at $133.96, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $123.32 to $134.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.1) compared to its historical average (14.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $137.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $137.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$123.32 -
$134.05
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($140.38)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.7% growth with 6.0% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$123.32 -
$134.05
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$129.40
Resistance Level
$137.16
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.13
Wall Street Target
$140.38
(+4.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.8%
Profit Margin
0.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.7% premium
PE vs Historical
16.1 vs 14.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$140.26
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$146.85
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$153.75
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16â14)
PE COMPRESSION
$134.40
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 7.3%)
$205.96
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.1, Growth: 7.3%)
$165.54
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 7.3%)
$140.71
(+5%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 17.36 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.72
Bull Case
$161.76
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.2
Base Case
$133.96
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.4
Bear Case
$102.48
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
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