Houlihan Lokey (HLI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLI - Houlihan Lokey, Inc.
$136.61
0.64 (0.47%)
▲
5d:
-0.18%
30d:
+10.69%
90d:
+0.73%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
Get Alerted When HLI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HLI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HLI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$218.10
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$135.42
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLI is currently trading at $136.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $126.24 to $133.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.0) compared to its historical average (18.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $129.31, while resistance sits at $141.08.
Market Sentiment: HLI scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $153.50 (+12.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $129.31, while resistance sits at $141.08.
Market Sentiment: HLI scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $153.50 (+12.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$126.24 -
$133.95
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($153.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$126.24 -
$133.95
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$129.31
Resistance Level
$141.08
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.02
Wall Street Target
$153.50
(+12.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-19.0%
Profit Margin
16.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.0 vs 18.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$130.74
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$125.11
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$119.73
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$136.74
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 9.9%)
$228.29
(+67%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.0, Growth: 9.9%)
$181.37
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.6, Growth: 9.9%)
$154.16
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.96
Bull Case
$213.94
(+57%)
Analyst growth 43.0%, PE expands to 25.1
Base Case
$194.49
(+42%)
Market implied 43.0%, PE stable at 22.8
Bear Case
$92.46
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.0 to 18.3
Stabilization Target:
$156.01
(+14.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 3:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is HLI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher M Crain
SELL
500 shares
2026-04-01
Top Rated Capital Markets Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Capital Markets by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
SCHW
Charles Schwab Corp |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$125 | 58 HOLD |
|
FUTU
Futu Holdings Ltd |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$161 | 43 HOLD |
|
MS
Morgan Stanley |
HOLD
25 analysts |
$237 | 59 HOLD |
|
RIOT
Riot Platforms, Inc. |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$32 | 50 HOLD |
|
HOOD
Robinhood Markets Inc |
BUY
21 analysts |
$129 | 45 HOLD |
