Houlihan Lokey (HLI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$143.43
-2.74 (-1.87%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.57%
30d:
+14.95%
90d:
+11.46%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (41%)
Quality Score
43/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$126.96 â $144.32
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.8x
FAIR
vs 17.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$161.44
+12.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$136.25 / $157.15
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HLI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$212.14
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$131.72
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLI is currently trading at $143.43, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $126.96 to $144.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (17.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 0.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $136.25, while resistance sits at $157.15.
Market Sentiment: HLI scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $161.44 (+12.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $136.25, while resistance sits at $157.15.
Market Sentiment: HLI scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $161.44 (+12.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$126.96 -
$144.32
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$126.96 -
$144.32
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$136.25
Resistance Level
$157.15
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (26/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($161.44)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.82
Wall Street Target
$161.44
(+12.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Profit Margin
15.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 17.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$140.85
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$138.31
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$135.82
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17â18)
$143.70
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.9%)
$224.78
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 9.9%)
$190.42
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 9.9%)
$161.86
(+13%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.96
Bull Case
$229.99
(+60%)
Analyst growth 43.0%, PE expands to 27.0
Base Case
$209.08
(+46%)
Market implied 43.0%, PE stable at 24.5
Bear Case
$99.40
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.8 to 17.8
Stabilization Target:
$151.75
(+5.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.8%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (HLI)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Houlihan Lokey (HLI) reported stronger-than-expected earnings for Q2 FY2027 with EPS of $1.85 vs. $1.58 estimated. The company posted revenue of $692 million, exceeding expectations of $609.9 million.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings beat
revenue exceeded expectations
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 5:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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