Holley (HLLY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$2.51
-0.10 (-3.83%)
▼
5d:
-13.45%
30d:
-1.18%
90d:
-16.05%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
0d
Protect HLLY Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (79%)
Quality Score
55/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$2.35 – $2.68
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
6.1x
CHEAP
vs 8.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$4.11
+63.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$2.05 / $2.98
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HLLY is down 13.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.71
Based on 2.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLLY is currently trading at $2.51, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.35 to $2.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.1) compared to its historical average (8.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 200% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLLY is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $2.05, while resistance sits at $2.98. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: HLLY scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.11 (+63.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLLY is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $2.05, while resistance sits at $2.98. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: HLLY scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.11 (+63.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$2.35 -
$2.68
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$2.35 -
$2.68
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$2.05
Resistance Level
$2.98
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding HLLY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 63.6% below Wall St target ($4.11)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 61/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.4% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.14
Wall Street Target
$4.11
(+63.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
200.0%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.1 vs 8.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.30
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$2.11
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$1.94
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→8)
$2.52
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 1.1%)
$8.38
(+234%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.1, Growth: 1.1%)
$2.59
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.2, Growth: 1.1%)
$2.20
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.15
Bull Case
$5.74
(+129%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 19.1
Base Case
$5.22
(+108%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 17.4
Bear Case
$1.77
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.1 to 8.0
Stabilization Target:
$3.27
(+30.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (HLLY)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 16, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Trader $BullishBob expresses optimism towards $HLLY, mentioning $WCT and $ORKT, with no recent news articles available.
Key Retail Themes:
Positive sentiment towards specific ticker symbols $HLLY, $WCT, and $ORKT
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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