Holley (HLLY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLLY - Holley Inc.
$2.69
0.07 (2.67%)
▲
5d:
-13.23%
30d:
-15.14%
90d:
+4.26%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HLLY is down 13.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HLLY is down 13.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.10
Based on -0.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.93
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLLY is currently trading at $2.69, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.84 to $3.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.0) compared to its historical average (8.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 200% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLLY is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $2.56, while resistance sits at $3.11.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.58 (+70.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLLY is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $2.56, while resistance sits at $3.11.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.58 (+70.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$2.84 -
$3.12
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HLLY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 70.2% below Wall St target ($4.58)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.84 -
$3.12
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.57
Resistance Level
$3.11
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.96
Wall Street Target
$4.58
(+70.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
200.0%
Profit Margin
1.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 8.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.54
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$2.39
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$2.26
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$2.69
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -5.2%)
$6.64
(+147%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: -5.2%)
$2.29
(-15%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: -5.2%)
$1.95
(-28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.08
Bull Case
$5.76
(+114%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 36.0
Base Case
$5.24
(+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 32.8
Bear Case
$1.78
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.0 to 8.3
Stabilization Target:
$3.21
(+19.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLLY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HLLY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HLLY price and gamma walls.
