HLLY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLLY - Holley Inc.
$3.09
0.05 (1.64%)
▲
5d:
-0.64%
30d:
+22.62%
90d:
+26.64%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HLLY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HLLY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.10
Based on -0.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.93
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLLY is currently trading at $3.09, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.62 to $3.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.0) is in line with its historical norms (8.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 200% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLLY is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.95, while resistance sits at $3.29.
Market Sentiment: HLLY scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.58 (+48.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLLY is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.95, while resistance sits at $3.29.
Market Sentiment: HLLY scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.58 (+48.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$2.62 -
$3.07
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HLLY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 48.2% below Wall St target ($4.58)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.62 -
$3.07
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.95
Resistance Level
$3.30
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.00
Wall Street Target
$4.58
(+48.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
200.0%
Profit Margin
1.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 8.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.05
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$3.00
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$2.96
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$3.07
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -5.2%)
$6.60
(+114%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: -5.2%)
$2.63
(-15%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: -5.2%)
$2.24
(-28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.09
Bull Case
$6.69
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 37.2
Base Case
$6.08
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 33.8
Bear Case
$2.07
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.0 to 8.3
Stabilization Target:
$3.21
(+3.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLLY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HLLY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HLLY price and gamma walls.
