Holley (HLLY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLLY - Holley Inc.
$2.37
-0.01 (-0.42%)
▼
5d:
-4.05%
30d:
-19.11%
90d:
+0.0%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HLLY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HLLY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.07
Based on -0.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.90
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLLY is currently trading at $2.37, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.54 to $2.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.2) compared to its historical average (8.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 200% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLLY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $2.29, while resistance sits at $2.71.
Market Sentiment: HLLY scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.58 (+92.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLLY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $2.29, while resistance sits at $2.71.
Market Sentiment: HLLY scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.58 (+92.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$2.54 -
$2.97
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HLLY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 92.4% below Wall St target ($4.58)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.54 -
$2.97
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.29
Resistance Level
$2.72
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.16
Wall Street Target
$4.58
(+92.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
200.0%
Profit Margin
1.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.2 vs 8.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.17
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$1.97
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$1.79
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→8)
$2.39
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -5.2%)
$6.71
(+182%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.2, Growth: -5.2%)
$2.03
(-15%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.2, Growth: -5.2%)
$1.72
(-28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.09
Bull Case
$5.19
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 28.8
Base Case
$4.72
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 26.2
Bear Case
$1.60
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.2 to 8.2
Stabilization Target:
$3.17
(+33.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 10:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLLY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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