Jack in the Box (JACK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JACK - Jack in the Box Inc.
$12.67
-0.55 (-4.16%)
▼
5d:
-4.95%
30d:
-18.94%
90d:
-26.34%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 18, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: JACK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: JACK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.39
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.76
19.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JACK is currently trading at $12.67, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.24 to $16.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.0) is in line with its historical norms (4.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JACK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (26th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.92 (+57.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JACK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (26th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.92 (+57.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$13.24 -
$16.02
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
26th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding JACK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 26th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 57.2% below Wall St target ($19.92)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (50/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.24 -
$16.02
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.19
(9.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.62
Resistance Level
$14.13
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.98
Wall Street Target
$19.92
(+57.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.0%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.0 vs 4.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.56
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$12.44
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$12.33
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→4)
$12.69
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 72.5%)
$66.28
(+423%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.0, Growth: 72.5%)
$12.95
(+2%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.4, Growth: 72.5%)
$11.01
(-13%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.0 to 4.1
Stabilization Target:
$13.04
(+2.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 5:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JACK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced JACK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JACK price and gamma walls.
