JACK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JACK - Jack in the Box Inc.
$17.24
0.64 (3.86%)
â˛
5d:
+1.23%
30d:
+25.2%
90d:
+51.89%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: JACK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 10.4% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: JACK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 10.4% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.15
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.41
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JACK is currently trading at $17.24, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.14 to $17.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 5.4) compared to its historical average (4.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JACK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.25, while resistance sits at $23.05. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (22th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+16.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JACK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.25, while resistance sits at $23.05. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (22th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+16.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$15.14 -
$17.79
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
22th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding JACK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 22th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($20.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 10.4% growth with -1.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.14 -
$17.79
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$1.93
(11.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.25
Resistance Level
$23.05
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.39
Wall Street Target
$20.00
(+16.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.0%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.4% premium
PE vs Historical
5.4 vs 4.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.03
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$21.01
(+22%)
3-Year Target
$23.20
(+35%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5â4)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.21
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 2.9%)
$70.01
(+306%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.4, Growth: 2.9%)
$18.81
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.0, Growth: 2.9%)
$13.95
(-19%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 9:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JACK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced JACK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JACK price and gamma walls.
