JACK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JACK - Jack in the Box Inc.
$15.16
0.27 (1.81%)
▲
5d:
-4.17%
30d:
+22.55%
90d:
+32.4%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
22d
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3 traders called JACK this week
75% bullish • 1 bearish
75% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JACK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JACK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.98
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.78
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JACK is currently trading at $15.16, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.76 to $15.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.1) is in line with its historical norms (3.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JACK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: JACK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JACK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: JACK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$11.76 -
$15.35
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($16.12)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.5% growth with -4.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.76 -
$15.35
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.92
Resistance Level
$13.79
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.07
Wall Street Target
$16.12
(+8.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-73.6%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
4.1 vs 3.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.11
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$15.34
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$15.57
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→4)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.91
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.8%)
$99.60
(+569%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.1, Growth: 7.8%)
$18.63
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.5, Growth: 7.8%)
$15.83
(+6%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 12:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JACK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lance F Tucker
SELL
3150 shares
2026-01-28
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