Jack in the Box (JACK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JACK - Jack in the Box Inc.
$11.06
-1.02 (-8.44%)
▼
5d:
-5.95%
30d:
-17.46%
90d:
-19.68%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 18, 2026
26d
Get Alerted When JACK Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: JACK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: JACK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.09
Based on -1.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JACK is currently trading at $11.06, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.08 to $13.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.5) compared to its historical average (4.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JACK is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $10.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: JACK scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (20th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.83 (+79.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JACK is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $10.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: JACK scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (20th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.83 (+79.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.08 -
$13.54
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
20th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding JACK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 20th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 79.3% below Wall St target ($19.83)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.08 -
$13.54
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.15
(10.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.96
Resistance Level
$13.05
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.50
Wall Street Target
$19.83
(+79.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.0%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.5 vs 4.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.52
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$10.00
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$9.51
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→4)
$11.14
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -6.6%)
$62.62
(+466%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.5, Growth: -6.6%)
$11.04
(0%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.0, Growth: -6.6%)
$9.38
(-15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (4x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 4.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.78
Bull Case
$15.10
(+37%)
Analyst growth 13.7%, PE expands to 4.8
Base Case
$13.73
(+24%)
Market implied 13.7%, PE stable at 4.4
Bear Case
$8.21
(-26%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.5 to 4.1
Stabilization Target:
$12.95
(+17.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 8:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:47 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is JACK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Restaurants Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Restaurants by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BROS
Dutch Bros Inc |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$71 | 43 HOLD |
|
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill I… |
BUY
35 analysts |
$44 | 41 HOLD |
|
WING
Wingstop Inc |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$193 | 38 SELL |
|
TXRH
Texas Roadhouse Inc |
BUY
28 analysts |
$210 | 49 HOLD |
|
EAT
Brinker International Inc |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$261 | 52 HOLD |
Advanced JACK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JACK price and gamma walls.
