Kolibri Global Energy (KGEI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KGEI - Kolibri Global Energy Inc. Common Stock
$6.56
0.03 (0.46%)
▲
5d:
+4.46%
30d:
+21.03%
90d:
+22.62%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KGEI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KGEI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.53
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.16
8.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KGEI is currently trading at $6.56, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.42 to $6.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.1) is in line with its historical norms (8.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 187.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGEI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.76, while resistance sits at $6.88.
Market Sentiment: KGEI scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.00 (+22.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGEI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.76, while resistance sits at $6.88.
Market Sentiment: KGEI scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.00 (+22.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$5.42 -
$6.37
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.0% below Wall St target ($8.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.42 -
$6.37
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.76
Resistance Level
$6.88
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.10
Wall Street Target
$8.00
(+22.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
102.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
187.5%
Profit Margin
26.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.1 vs 8.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.44
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$6.31
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$6.19
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$6.58
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 17.4%)
$26.43
(+303%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: 17.4%)
$10.61
(+62%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: 17.4%)
$9.02
(+38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.53
Bull Case
$10.98
(+67%)
Analyst growth 52.8%, PE expands to 13.6
Base Case
$9.98
(+52%)
Market implied 52.8%, PE stable at 12.3
Bear Case
$4.44
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.1 to 8.6
Stabilization Target:
$6.97
(+6.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 7:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:25 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is KGEI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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