LKQ (LKQ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LKQ - LKQ Corporation
$22.47
1.09 (5.10%)
â˛
5d:
+0.49%
30d:
-4.1%
90d:
-12.97%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LKQ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LKQ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.60
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.83
13.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LKQ is currently trading at $22.47, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.96 to $23.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.3) compared to its historical average (8.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LKQ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.82. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: LKQ scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.12 (+43.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LKQ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.82. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: LKQ scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.12 (+43.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$21.96 -
$23.34
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LKQ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (66/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 43.0% below Wall St target ($32.12)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.96 -
$23.34
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.30
Resistance Level
$22.82
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.34
Wall Street Target
$32.13
(+43.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.0%
Profit Margin
3.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.3 vs 8.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.30
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$20.19
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$19.14
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7â9)
$22.43
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.3%)
$93.31
(+315%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: 15.3%)
$34.48
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.2, Growth: 15.3%)
$29.31
(+30%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.80
Bull Case
$40.00
(+78%)
Analyst growth 70.1%, PE expands to 13.1
Base Case
$36.37
(+62%)
Market implied 70.1%, PE stable at 11.9
Bear Case
$14.54
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.3 to 8.6
Stabilization Target:
$26.33
(+17.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 8:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LKQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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