LKQ
LKQ Corporation
WHOLESALE-MOTOR VEHICLES & MOTOR VEHICLE PARTS & SUPPLIES
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LKQ (LKQ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$19.99
-0.20 (-0.99%)
âŧ
5d:
-4.54%
30d:
-9.87%
90d:
-20.67%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
0d
Protect LKQ Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (48%)
Quality Score
41/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$18.76 â $22.32
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.6x
FAIR
vs 8.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$23.86
+19.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$17.55 / $21.18
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LKQ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 4, 2026 at $20.25 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.51
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.84
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LKQ is currently trading at $19.99, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.76 to $22.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.6) is in line with its historical norms (8.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LKQ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.55, while resistance sits at $21.18.
Market Sentiment: LKQ scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.86 (+19.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LKQ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.55, while resistance sits at $21.18.
Market Sentiment: LKQ scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.86 (+19.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$18.76 -
$22.32
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$18.76 -
$22.32
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$17.55
Resistance Level
$21.18
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding LKQ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($23.86)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.56
Wall Street Target
$23.86
(+19.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.0%
Profit Margin
1.9%
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 8.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.99
(0%)
2-Year Target
$19.99
(0%)
3-Year Target
$19.99
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â9)
$20.09
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.8%)
$54.89
(+175%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 5.8%)
$23.66
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 5.8%)
$20.11
(+1%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.02
Bull Case
$44.42
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 21.8
Base Case
$40.38
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 19.8
Bear Case
$13.73
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (LKQ)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 30, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits users expressed bullish sentiment towards $LKQ following a bullish move at the close of the market, inquiring about potential news. The latest Yahoo Finance news article reported that Carvana's used car sales surged by 39% in the eighth quarter, contributing to the company's earnings growth.
Key Retail Themes:
Carvana earnings growth
Used car sales surge
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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