LKQ (LKQ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LKQ - LKQ Corporation
$24.11
0.48 (2.03%)
▲
5d:
-4.51%
30d:
-2.43%
90d:
-7.2%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $24.78 · last confirmed Sep 8, 2026
Strength: 5.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LKQ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LKQ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.89
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.63
9.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LKQ is currently trading at $24.11, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.31 to $25.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.8) compared to its historical average (8.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LKQ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LKQ scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.50 (+34.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LKQ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LKQ scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.50 (+34.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$24.31 -
$25.63
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LKQ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.8% below Wall St target ($32.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.31 -
$25.63
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.54
Resistance Level
$25.74
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.80
Wall Street Target
$32.50
(+34.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.0%
Profit Margin
3.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 8.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.15
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$22.22
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$21.33
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$24.08
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 15.2%)
$95.30
(+295%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 15.2%)
$36.84
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: 15.2%)
$31.31
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.76
Bull Case
$45.67
(+89%)
Analyst growth 75.7%, PE expands to 14.8
Base Case
$41.52
(+72%)
Market implied 75.7%, PE stable at 13.4
Bear Case
$16.07
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.8 to 8.8
Stabilization Target:
$27.21
(+12.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 4:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LKQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
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Advanced LKQ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LKQ price and gamma walls.
