LKQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LKQ - LKQ Corporation
$25.77
-0.21 (-0.81%)
âŧ
5d:
+1.38%
30d:
+3.83%
90d:
-4.13%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LKQ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LKQ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.38
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.94
4.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LKQ is currently trading at $25.77, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.07 to $25.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.3) is in line with its historical norms (8.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LKQ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.50 (+26.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LKQ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.50 (+26.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$24.07 -
$25.98
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LKQ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.1% below Wall St target ($32.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.07 -
$25.98
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.15
Resistance Level
$26.28
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.33
Wall Street Target
$32.50
(+26.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.0%
Profit Margin
3.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 8.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.23
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$24.70
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$24.18
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8â9)
$25.82
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 15.2%)
$94.83
(+268%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 15.2%)
$39.38
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 15.2%)
$33.47
(+30%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.81
Bull Case
$48.82
(+90%)
Analyst growth 70.8%, PE expands to 15.8
Base Case
$44.39
(+72%)
Market implied 70.8%, PE stable at 14.4
Bear Case
$17.67
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.3 to 8.9
Stabilization Target:
$27.52
(+6.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LKQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
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