LTRX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LTRX - Lantronix Inc

COMPUTER COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT
$5.66
0.28 (5.20%) ▲
5d: +3.66%
30d: +3.1%
90d: -20.06%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 26, 2026 22d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LTRX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.25
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.99
19.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LTRX is currently trading at $5.66, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.27 to $5.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.0) is in line with its historical norms (20.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LTRX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.33 (+92.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $5.27 - $5.68
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 60th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 70.0%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 60th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.2%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 92.1% below Wall St target ($10.33)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $5.27 - $5.68
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.90 (15.9%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $4.93
Resistance Level $5.78
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.99
Wall Street Target $10.33 (+92.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.9%
Profit Margin -5.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 19.0 vs 20.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $5.25 (-2%)
2-Year Target $5.12 (-5%)
3-Year Target $5.00 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→20) $5.37 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.7, Growth: 86.8%) $19.82 (+268%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 86.8%) $18.16 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 16.1, Growth: 86.8%) $15.43 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.0 to 20.4
Stabilization Target: $5.78 (+7.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +7.4%
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Last updated: August 03, 2026 6:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mathi Gurusamy SELL 14467 shares 2026-03-13

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