MOELIS & (MC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MC - MOELIS & COMPANY
$64.03
-0.22 (-0.34%)
▼
5d:
-7.39%
30d:
-3.38%
90d:
-7.11%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$132.12
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$82.03
21.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MC is currently trading at $64.03, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.84 to $69.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.3) is in line with its historical norms (17.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $63.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.00 (+12.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $63.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.00 (+12.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$65.84 -
$69.09
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($72.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$65.84 -
$69.09
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$63.50
Resistance Level
$70.20
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.33
Wall Street Target
$72.00
(+12.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.1%
Profit Margin
14.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.3 vs 17.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.88
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$61.75
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$60.63
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$64.25
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 27.5%)
$164.07
(+156%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.3, Growth: 27.5%)
$132.81
(+107%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 27.5%)
$112.89
(+76%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.82
Bull Case
$98.28
(+54%)
Analyst growth 39.1%, PE expands to 25.1
Base Case
$89.35
(+40%)
Market implied 39.1%, PE stable at 22.8
Bear Case
$43.69
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.3 to 17.3
Stabilization Target:
$67.84
(+6.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 7:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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