Mayville Engineering (MEC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MEC - Mayville Engineering Company, Inc.
$12.71
-0.23 (-1.78%)
▼
5d:
-8.56%
30d:
-24.21%
90d:
-56.84%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
9d
Get Alerted When MEC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MEC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MEC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.73
58.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MEC is currently trading at $12.71, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.24 to $17.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.5) compared to its historical average (27.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 23.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MEC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MEC scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.80 (+189.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MEC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MEC scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.80 (+189.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$14.24 -
$17.07
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
38th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 38th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 189.5% below Wall St target ($36.80)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.24 -
$17.07
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.57
(12.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.42
Resistance Level
$15.29
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.50
Wall Street Target
$36.80
(+189.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-99.4%
Profit Margin
-2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-23.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 27.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-23.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.44
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$10.30
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$9.27
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→28)
$20.38
(+60%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 293.3%)
$68.14
(+436%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 293.3%)
$42.90
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 293.3%)
$36.46
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.5 to 27.5
Stabilization Target:
$27.96
(+120.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+120.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 24, 2026 3:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:02 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MEC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Metal Fabrication Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Metal Fabrication by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
ESAB
ESAB Corp |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$124 | 59 HOLD |
|
ATI
Allegheny Technologies I… |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$249 | 44 HOLD |
|
CMC
Commercial Metals Company |
BUY
12 analysts |
$79 | 49 HOLD |
|
CRS
Carpenter Technology Cor… |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$536 | 41 HOLD |
|
CMPO
CompoSecure, Inc. |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$26 | 38 SELL |
