MEC
Mayville Engineering Company, Inc.
METAL FORGINGS & STAMPINGS
Mayville Engineering (MEC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$13.99
-0.03 (-0.21%)
âŧ
5d:
+7.2%
30d:
-2.58%
90d:
-41.93%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
0d
Protect MEC Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (60%)
Quality Score
33/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$13.47 â $15.54
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.5x
CHEAP
vs 26.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$25.25
+80.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$12.68 / $16.28
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MEC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -16.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.97
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.30
48.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MEC is currently trading at $13.99, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.47 to $15.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.5) compared to its historical average (26.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MEC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.68, while resistance sits at $16.28.
Market Sentiment: MEC scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.25 (+80.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MEC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.68, while resistance sits at $16.28.
Market Sentiment: MEC scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.25 (+80.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$13.47 -
$15.54
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$13.47 -
$15.54
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$1.67
(12.0%)
Support Level
$12.68
Resistance Level
$16.28
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding MEC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (27/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 80.5% below Wall St target ($25.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.49
Wall Street Target
$25.25
(+80.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-99.4%
Profit Margin
-2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.5 vs 26.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.59
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$11.33
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.20
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15â27)
$17.58
(+26%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 547.5%)
$60.54
(+333%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: 547.5%)
$47.22
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: 547.5%)
$40.13
(+187%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.5 to 26.7
Stabilization Target:
$24.12
(+72.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+72.4%
Share MEC Analysis
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MEC)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jun 28, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits messages indicate a bullish sentiment towards $MEC with one user expressing optimism about the stock's potential using the ENTA ticker and fruit emojis, suggesting a long-term growth perspective.
Key Retail Themes:
Long-term growth potential
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 4:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MEC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MEC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MEC price and gamma walls.
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