MEC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MEC - Mayville Engineering Company, Inc.
$26.55
0.88 (3.43%)
▲
5d:
-9.85%
30d:
-20.86%
90d:
+19.38%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
TODAY
Get Alerted When MEC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MEC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MEC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.75
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.99
21.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MEC is currently trading at $26.55, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.32 to $35.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.6) compared to its historical average (30.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MEC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.85, while resistance sits at $31.37. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: MEC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.50 (+43.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MEC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.85, while resistance sits at $31.37. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: MEC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.50 (+43.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$28.32 -
$35.29
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
62th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 62th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 43.7% below Wall St target ($36.50)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.32 -
$35.29
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.05
(15.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.85
Resistance Level
$31.37
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.59
Wall Street Target
$36.50
(+43.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-99.4%
Profit Margin
-2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.6 vs 30.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.91
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$20.67
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$18.64
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→31)
$25.42
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.6, Growth: 432.4%)
$85.72
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.8, Growth: 432.4%)
$78.98
(+211%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.7, Growth: 432.4%)
$67.13
(+164%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.6 to 30.8
Stabilization Target:
$34.63
(+36.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+36.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 4:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MEC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sean P Leuba
SELL
6698 shares
2026-03-05
Sean P Leuba
SELL
2500 shares
2026-03-05
Top Rated Metal Fabrication Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Metal Fabrication by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
ATI
Allegheny Technologies I… |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$200 | 52 HOLD |
|
CRS
Carpenter Technology Cor… |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$599 | 53 HOLD |
|
CMPO
CompoSecure, Inc. |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$26 | 59 HOLD |
|
ESAB
ESAB Corp |
BUY
11 analysts |
$135 | 49 HOLD |
|
CMC
Commercial Metals Company |
SELL
11 analysts |
$80 | 53 HOLD |
