Mistras Group (MG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MG - Mistras Group Inc.
$21.42
0.11 (0.52%)
â˛
5d:
+3.63%
30d:
+2.29%
90d:
+38.55%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 6.2% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 6.2% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.59
Based on 13.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MG is currently trading at $21.42, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.24 to $21.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.9) compared to its historical average (14.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MG scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MG scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$20.24 -
$21.43
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
40th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
44.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 40th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 6.2% growth expectation is conservative given 140% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.24 -
$21.43
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$2.13
(9.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.55
Resistance Level
$21.92
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.93
Wall Street Target
$23.00
(+7.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
139.7%
Profit Margin
3.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.2% premium
PE vs Historical
16.9 vs 14.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.75
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$24.16
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$25.66
(+20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17â14)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.36
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 23.4%)
$47.22
(+121%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: 23.4%)
$40.26
(+88%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.1, Growth: 23.4%)
$33.53
(+57%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.82
Bull Case
$36.16
(+69%)
Analyst growth 54.3%, PE expands to 28.6
Base Case
$32.87
(+54%)
Market implied 54.3%, PE stable at 26.0
Bear Case
$14.49
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 11:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MG price and gamma walls.
