MG
Mistras Group Inc.
SERVICES-ENGINEERING SERVICES
Mistras Group (MG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$20.18
+0.01 (+0.05%)
▲
5d:
-0.25%
30d:
-3.17%
90d:
+10.03%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (85%)
Quality Score
68/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$20.20 – $21.19
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.0x
FAIR
vs 14.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$21.18
+4.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
40th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$20.06 / $20.40
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.98
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.72
7.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MG is currently trading at $20.18, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.20 to $21.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.9) compared to its historical average (14.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MG scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MG scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$20.20 -
$21.19
Company Quality Score
68/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
40th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$20.20 -
$21.19
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.00
(9.9%)
Support Level
$20.06
Resistance Level
$20.40
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 40th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (73/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($21.18)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.8% growth with 4.6% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 73/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.95
Wall Street Target
$21.18
(+4.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-48.8%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
16.0 vs 14.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.95
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$21.74
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$22.57
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.09
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 29.1%)
$54.03
(+168%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.0, Growth: 29.1%)
$43.40
(+115%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.6, Growth: 29.1%)
$36.89
(+83%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.63
Bull Case
$44.37
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 35.2
Base Case
$40.34
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 32.0
Bear Case
$13.72
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MG)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Sep 25, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Mistras Group (NYSE: MG) integrates Sidetrade's autonomous AI agent, Aimie, to optimize Order-to-Cash, reflecting a growing trend among forward-looking finance organizations.
Key Retail Themes:
Adoption of agentic AI in finance
Mistras Group's innovation in technology-enabled asset integrity
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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