MG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MG - Mistras Group Inc.
$19.07
0.33 (1.76%)
▲
5d:
+3.08%
30d:
+10.87%
90d:
+31.25%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Get Alerted When MG Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.08
Based on 11.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.06
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MG is currently trading at $19.07, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.36 to $18.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.3) compared to its historical average (13.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (6th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.00 (+10.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (6th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.00 (+10.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$17.36 -
$18.56
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
6th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 6th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($21.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.0% growth with 4.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.36 -
$18.56
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.77
(9.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.20
Resistance Level
$18.71
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.32
Wall Street Target
$21.00
(+10.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.0%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 13.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.83
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$20.63
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$21.45
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.05
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 19.1%)
$45.85
(+141%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 19.1%)
$32.25
(+69%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 19.1%)
$27.41
(+44%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.70
Bull Case
$36.66
(+92%)
Analyst growth 77.9%, PE expands to 29.5
Base Case
$33.33
(+75%)
Market implied 77.9%, PE stable at 26.8
Bear Case
$12.74
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 5:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:22 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Security & Protection Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Security & Protection Services by analyst ratings.
Advanced MG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MG price and gamma walls.
