MGA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGA - Magna International
$68.60
-1.25 (-1.79%)
▼
5d:
+4.48%
30d:
+8.77%
90d:
+7.74%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MGA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MGA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$93.02
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGA is currently trading at $68.60, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.90 to $67.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (8.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $70.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MGA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $70.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MGA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$63.90 -
$67.67
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($70.44)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.6% growth with 3.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$63.90 -
$67.67
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.54
Resistance Level
$70.36
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.05
Wall Street Target
$70.44
(+2.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-35.7%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.6% premium
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 8.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.38
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$72.21
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$74.09
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$68.80
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 11.8%)
$219.84
(+221%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 11.8%)
$95.92
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 11.8%)
$81.54
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.40
Bull Case
$153.67
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 32.0
Base Case
$139.70
(+104%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 29.1
Bear Case
$47.50
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MGA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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