Magna International (MGA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MGA - Magna International

Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories
$66.13
0.99 (1.52%) ▲
5d: -1.43%
30d: -5.14%
90d: +0.55%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MGA is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$93.98
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.35
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MGA is currently trading at $66.13, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.86 to $70.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.5) is in line with its historical norms (8.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MGA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $62.96, while resistance sits at $69.23.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.39 (+11.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $65.86 - $70.67
Company Quality Score 60/100 (BUY)
Options IV Signal 48th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 76.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 48th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($73.39)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (56/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $65.86 - $70.67
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$3.65 (5.5%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $62.96
Resistance Level $69.23
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.50
Wall Street Target $73.39 (+11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 27.8%
Profit Margin 1.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.2% premium
PE vs Historical 8.5 vs 8.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $66.26 (+0%)
2-Year Target $66.39 (+0%)
3-Year Target $66.53 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→9) $66.55 (+1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.6%) $212.28 (+221%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 10.6%) $89.43 (+35%)
Bear: (PE: 7.2, Growth: 10.6%) $76.02 (+15%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.70
Bull Case $143.31 (+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 26.5
Base Case $130.28 (+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 24.1
Bear Case $44.30 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 11, 2026 11:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:26 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced MGA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MGA price and gamma walls.

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