MGRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGRC - Mcgrath Rentcorp
$115.15
0.15 (0.13%)
▲
5d:
-3.85%
30d:
-3.95%
90d:
+4.16%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MGRC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MGRC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$162.33
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$100.79
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGRC is currently trading at $115.15, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $115.46 to $120.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.7) is in line with its historical norms (16.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGRC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $112.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.40 (+24.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGRC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $112.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.40 (+24.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$115.46 -
$120.88
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.1% below Wall St target ($145.40)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.9% growth with 1.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$115.46 -
$120.88
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$112.85
Resistance Level
$121.69
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.71
Wall Street Target
$145.40
(+24.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.3%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
16.7 vs 16.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$118.17
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$119.24
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$120.31
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$117.38
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.9, Growth: 10.6%)
$198.75
(+70%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: 10.6%)
$158.50
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 10.6%)
$134.73
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.25
Bull Case
$143.89
(+25%)
Analyst growth 12.2%, PE expands to 20.5
Base Case
$130.81
(+14%)
Market implied 12.2%, PE stable at 18.7
Bear Case
$79.31
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 9:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MGRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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