MGRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGRC - Mcgrath Rentcorp
$119.51
1.09 (0.92%)
▲
5d:
+4.67%
30d:
+8.96%
90d:
+9.95%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MGRC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MGRC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$161.33
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$100.17
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGRC is currently trading at $119.51, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $108.60 to $115.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.9) is in line with its historical norms (16.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGRC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $113.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MGRC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.40 (+22.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGRC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $113.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MGRC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.40 (+22.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$108.60 -
$115.29
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.8% below Wall St target ($145.40)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.4% growth with 1.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$108.60 -
$115.29
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$104.98
Resistance Level
$113.70
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.89
Wall Street Target
$145.40
(+22.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.3%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
16.9 vs 16.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$120.08
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$121.76
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$123.46
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$118.40
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.6%)
$206.62
(+75%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: 10.6%)
$160.26
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 10.6%)
$136.22
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.31
Bull Case
$144.43
(+22%)
Analyst growth 11.1%, PE expands to 20.6
Base Case
$131.30
(+11%)
Market implied 11.1%, PE stable at 18.7
Bear Case
$80.37
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MGRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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