MGRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGRC - Mcgrath Rentcorp
$116.65
0.21 (0.18%)
▲
5d:
-4.6%
30d:
-1.94%
90d:
+6.35%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When MGRC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MGRC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MGRC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$156.44
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$97.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGRC is currently trading at $116.65, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $117.06 to $120.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (16.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGRC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $115.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.40 (+24.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGRC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $115.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.40 (+24.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$117.06 -
$120.98
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.6% below Wall St target ($145.40)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.9% growth with -6.2% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$117.06 -
$120.98
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$115.46
Resistance Level
$123.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.80
Wall Street Target
$145.40
(+24.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.2%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 16.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$117.70
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$118.76
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$119.83
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$116.29
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.4%)
$182.35
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 9.4%)
$152.61
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 9.4%)
$129.72
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.11
Bull Case
$145.59
(+25%)
Analyst growth 13.7%, PE expands to 21.0
Base Case
$132.35
(+14%)
Market implied 13.7%, PE stable at 19.1
Bear Case
$79.18
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MGRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Rental & Leasing Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Rental & Leasing Services by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FTAI
FTAI Aviation Ltd. |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$339 | 58 HOLD |
|
URI
United Rentals Inc |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$1272 | 47 HOLD |
|
AL
Air Lease Corporation |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$65 | 54 HOLD |
|
AER
AerCap Holdings NV |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$179 | 43 HOLD |
|
CAR
Avis Budget Group Inc |
BUY
9 analysts |
$129 | 61 BUY |
