Mcgrath Rentcorp (MGRC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGRC - Mcgrath Rentcorp
$116.81
2.54 (2.22%)
▲
5d:
+3.2%
30d:
+3.15%
90d:
-2.46%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MGRC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MGRC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$156.44
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$97.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGRC is currently trading at $116.81, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $111.54 to $115.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (16.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGRC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $117.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MGRC scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.40 (+24.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGRC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $117.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MGRC scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.40 (+24.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$111.54 -
$115.42
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.5% below Wall St target ($145.40)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.0% growth with -6.2% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 63/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$111.54 -
$115.42
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$111.27
Resistance Level
$117.27
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.82
Wall Street Target
$145.40
(+24.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.2%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 16.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$117.98
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$119.16
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$120.35
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$116.63
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.4%)
$180.45
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 9.4%)
$152.82
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 9.4%)
$129.90
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.21
Bull Case
$140.57
(+20%)
Analyst growth 11.8%, PE expands to 20.2
Base Case
$127.79
(+9%)
Market implied 11.8%, PE stable at 18.4
Bear Case
$77.70
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MGRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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