Mcgrath Rentcorp (MGRC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGRC - Mcgrath Rentcorp
$116.63
1.64 (1.43%)
▲
5d:
+3.0%
30d:
+6.53%
90d:
+0.28%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MGRC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MGRC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$156.44
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$97.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGRC is currently trading at $116.63, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $110.51 to $114.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.6) is in line with its historical norms (16.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGRC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $115.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MGRC scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.40 (+26.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGRC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $115.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MGRC scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.40 (+26.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$110.51 -
$114.42
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
31.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.4% below Wall St target ($145.40)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.5% growth with -6.2% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$110.51 -
$114.42
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$109.94
Resistance Level
$115.95
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.56
Wall Street Target
$145.40
(+26.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.2%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
16.6 vs 16.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$115.56
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$116.14
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$116.72
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$114.91
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 9.4%)
$185.35
(+61%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: 9.4%)
$150.44
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.1, Growth: 9.4%)
$127.87
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.21
Bull Case
$140.67
(+22%)
Analyst growth 11.8%, PE expands to 20.3
Base Case
$127.88
(+11%)
Market implied 11.8%, PE stable at 18.4
Bear Case
$77.76
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 12:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MGRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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