MGRC
Mcgrath Rentcorp
SERVICES-EQUIPMENT RENTAL & LEASING, NEC
Mcgrath Rentcorp (MGRC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$128.79
+0.22 (+0.17%)
▲
5d:
-3.06%
30d:
+12.34%
90d:
+6.9%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
36/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$112.59 – $126.17
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
18.9x
STRETCHED
vs 16.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$146.60
+13.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$116.61 / $134.61
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MGRC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$146.94
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$91.24
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGRC is currently trading at $128.79, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $112.59 to $126.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.9) compared to its historical average (16.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGRC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $116.61, while resistance sits at $134.61.
Market Sentiment: MGRC scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $146.60 (+13.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGRC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $116.61, while resistance sits at $134.61.
Market Sentiment: MGRC scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $146.60 (+13.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$112.59 -
$126.17
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
25.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$112.59 -
$126.17
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$116.61
Resistance Level
$134.61
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($146.60)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 4.7% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.87
Wall Street Target
$146.60
(+13.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.3%
Profit Margin
16.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.7% premium
PE vs Historical
18.9 vs 16.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$134.84
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$141.18
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$147.82
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$128.47
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.2%)
$166.91
(+30%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.9, Growth: 7.2%)
$158.59
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: 7.2%)
$134.80
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.49
Bull Case
$148.73
(+16%)
Analyst growth 5.2%, PE expands to 21.8
Base Case
$135.21
(+5%)
Market implied 5.2%, PE stable at 19.8
Bear Case
$87.43
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MGRC)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
McGrath (MGRC) reported Q3 earnings with a revenue surprise of 1.21% and an EPS surprise of 11.11%. The company's rental revenues increased by 8.2% and 6.4% year over year in the reported quarter.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings surprise
revenue growth
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MGRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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