MGRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGRC - Mcgrath Rentcorp
$117.17
0.41 (0.35%)
▲
5d:
+0.74%
30d:
+3.73%
90d:
+2.68%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MGRC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MGRC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$162.33
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$100.79
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGRC is currently trading at $117.17, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $112.18 to $120.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.7) is in line with its historical norms (16.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGRC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $113.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.40 (+24.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGRC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $113.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.40 (+24.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$112.18 -
$120.28
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.1% below Wall St target ($145.40)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.9% growth with 1.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$112.18 -
$120.28
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$104.98
Resistance Level
$113.70
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.71
Wall Street Target
$145.40
(+24.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.3%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
16.7 vs 16.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$118.22
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$119.29
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$120.36
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$117.38
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.6%)
$206.62
(+76%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: 10.6%)
$158.57
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 10.6%)
$134.78
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.30
Bull Case
$142.91
(+22%)
Analyst growth 11.3%, PE expands to 20.4
Base Case
$129.92
(+11%)
Market implied 11.3%, PE stable at 18.5
Bear Case
$79.40
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MGRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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