Mcgrath Rentcorp (MGRC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGRC - Mcgrath Rentcorp
$110.40
0.54 (0.49%)
▲
5d:
+0.45%
30d:
-8.41%
90d:
-3.87%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MGRC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MGRC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$156.44
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$97.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGRC is currently trading at $110.40, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $111.57 to $120.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.9) is in line with its historical norms (16.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGRC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $108.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MGRC scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.40 (+31.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGRC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $108.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MGRC scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.40 (+31.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$111.57 -
$120.34
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (69/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.7% below Wall St target ($145.40)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 69/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$111.57 -
$120.34
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$108.77
Resistance Level
$115.25
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.90
Wall Street Target
$145.40
(+31.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.2%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 16.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$109.41
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$108.42
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$107.45
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
$110.17
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 9.4%)
$183.26
(+66%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 9.4%)
$144.43
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 9.4%)
$122.77
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.14
Bull Case
$136.69
(+24%)
Analyst growth 13.1%, PE expands to 19.7
Base Case
$124.26
(+13%)
Market implied 13.1%, PE stable at 17.9
Bear Case
$74.70
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.9 to 16.3
Stabilization Target:
$113.20
(+2.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 11:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MGRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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