MIAX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MIAX - Miami International Holdings, Inc.
$42.59
1.27 (3.07%)
▲
5d:
-2.14%
30d:
+2.21%
90d:
-17.2%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MIAX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MIAX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$71.06
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.12
3.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MIAX is currently trading at $42.59, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.66 to $45.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.1) compared to its historical average (26.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 32.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIAX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.71, while resistance sits at $45.80. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: MIAX scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.00 (+22.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIAX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.71, while resistance sits at $45.80. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: MIAX scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.00 (+22.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$41.66 -
$45.34
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
95.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 22.1% below Wall St target ($52.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.66 -
$45.34
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.71
Resistance Level
$45.80
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.08
Wall Street Target
$52.00
(+22.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.7%
Profit Margin
9.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.1 vs 26.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.95
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$37.47
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$35.15
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→27)
$42.66
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 12.2%)
$60.11
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 12.2%)
$54.64
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 12.2%)
$46.44
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.47
Bull Case
$59.64
(+40%)
Analyst growth 31.2%, PE expands to 30.9
Base Case
$54.22
(+27%)
Market implied 31.2%, PE stable at 28.1
Bear Case
$28.10
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.1 to 26.8
Stabilization Target:
$51.69
(+21.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 11:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:07 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is MIAX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thomas P Gallagher
SELL
49900 shares
2026-04-15
Thomas P Gallagher
SELL
174125 shares
2026-04-15
Barbara J Comly
SELL
29667 shares
2026-04-15
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