MIAX Miami International Holdings, Inc. Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies Best Securities Brokers Stocks 2026 →

Miami International (MIAX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$36.39
-0.47 (-1.28%) ▼
5d: +5.51% 30d: +22.44% 90d: -16.38%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (29%)
Quality Score
29/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$30.79 – $34.99
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
19.5x CHEAP
vs 24.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$44.80
+21.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$32.13 / $36.95
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MIAX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.86
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.03
6.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MIAX is currently trading at $36.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.79 to $34.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.5) compared to its historical average (24.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 32.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MIAX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: MIAX scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.80 (+21.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $30.79 - $34.99
Company Quality Score 29/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 28.6%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $30.79 - $34.99
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $32.13
Resistance Level $36.95
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 21.5% below Wall St target ($44.80)
  • WARNING: Composite score 29/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.54
Wall Street Target $44.80 (+21.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 32.7%
Profit Margin 19.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -7.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 19.5 vs 24.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -7.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $34.06 (-8%)
2-Year Target $31.47 (-15%)
3-Year Target $29.08 (-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→25) $36.90 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.2%) $47.51 (+29%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.5, Growth: 8.2%) $46.75 (+27%)
Bear: (PE: 16.6, Growth: 8.2%) $39.74 (+8%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.93
Bull Case $25.29 (-31%)
Analyst growth -35.6%, PE expands to 13.4
Base Case $22.99 (-38%)
Market implied -35.6%, PE stable at 12.2
Bear Case $24.28 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.5 to 24.8
Stabilization Target: $46.78 (+26.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +26.9%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MIAX)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Investor $Username is bullish on $MIAX ahead of earnings release, citing a strong earnings track record.
Key Retail Themes: earnings
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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