Miami International (MIAX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MIAX - Miami International Holdings, Inc.
$33.88
-1.11 (-3.17%)
âŧ
5d:
+9.47%
30d:
-4.94%
90d:
-21.97%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MIAX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -10.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MIAX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -10.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$70.80
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.96
22.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MIAX is currently trading at $33.88, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.65 to $37.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.4) compared to its historical average (25.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 32.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIAX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $29.06, while resistance sits at $35.15. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.40 (+35.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIAX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $29.06, while resistance sits at $35.15. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.40 (+35.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$30.65 -
$37.22
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 35.5% below Wall St target ($47.40)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.65 -
$37.22
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.06
Resistance Level
$35.15
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.41
Wall Street Target
$47.40
(+35.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.7%
Profit Margin
9.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.4 vs 25.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.49
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$28.34
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$25.51
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18â25)
$34.91
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.7%)
$53.96
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: 12.7%)
$50.03
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.7, Growth: 12.7%)
$42.52
(+22%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.00
Bull Case
$70.19
(+101%)
Analyst growth 90.0%, PE expands to 36.9
Base Case
$63.81
(+82%)
Market implied 90.0%, PE stable at 33.6
Bear Case
$22.83
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.4 to 25.2
Stabilization Target:
$47.89
(+36.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+36.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 3:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MIAX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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