MIAX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MIAX - Miami International Holdings, Inc.
$42.31
-0.52 (-1.21%)
▼
5d:
+1.08%
30d:
+3.73%
90d:
+0.86%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
21d
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2 traders called MIAX this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MIAX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.2% annual earnings decline despite 787% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MIAX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.2% annual earnings decline despite 787% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$75.89
Based on 10.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.12
10.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MIAX is currently trading at $42.31, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.34 to $42.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.6) compared to its historical average (27.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 786.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIAX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.48, while resistance sits at $51.60.
Market Sentiment: MIAX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.40 (+21.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIAX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.48, while resistance sits at $51.60.
Market Sentiment: MIAX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.40 (+21.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$37.34 -
$42.32
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.5% below Wall St target ($51.40)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.34 -
$42.32
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.48
Resistance Level
$51.60
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.61
Wall Street Target
$51.40
(+21.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
786.8%
Profit Margin
8.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.6 vs 27.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.69
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$37.23
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$34.92
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→27)
$42.31
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.6, Growth: 16.5%)
$66.84
(+58%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.5%)
$64.38
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 16.5%)
$54.72
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.29
Bull Case
$68.34
(+62%)
Analyst growth 45.0%, PE expands to 36.5
Base Case
$62.12
(+47%)
Market implied 45.0%, PE stable at 33.2
Bear Case
$29.12
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.6 to 27.4
Stabilization Target:
$51.27
(+21.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 7:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MIAX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thomas P Gallagher
SELL
49900 shares
2026-04-15
Thomas P Gallagher
SELL
174125 shares
2026-04-15
Barbara J Comly
SELL
29667 shares
2026-04-15
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