Miami International (MIAX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MIAX - Miami International Holdings, Inc.
$33.01
-0.74 (-2.19%)
▼
5d:
-5.42%
30d:
-18.73%
90d:
-21.14%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MIAX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MIAX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$71.10
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.15
25.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MIAX is currently trading at $33.01, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.69 to $43.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.0) compared to its historical average (25.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 32.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIAX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.40 (+55.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIAX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.40 (+55.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$35.69 -
$43.26
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 55.7% below Wall St target ($51.40)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.69 -
$43.26
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.89
Resistance Level
$39.73
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.03
Wall Street Target
$51.40
(+55.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.7%
Profit Margin
9.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.0 vs 25.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.71
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$26.74
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$24.06
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→26)
$36.61
(+11%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 12.0%)
$55.58
(+68%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.0, Growth: 12.0%)
$46.38
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.5, Growth: 12.0%)
$39.42
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.45
Bull Case
$49.64
(+50%)
Analyst growth 33.7%, PE expands to 25.6
Base Case
$45.13
(+37%)
Market implied 33.7%, PE stable at 23.3
Bear Case
$22.95
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.0 to 25.9
Stabilization Target:
$50.22
(+52.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+52.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 4:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is MIAX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thomas P Gallagher
SELL
49900 shares
2026-04-15
Thomas P Gallagher
SELL
174125 shares
2026-04-15
Barbara J Comly
SELL
29667 shares
2026-04-15
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