MIAX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MIAX - Miami International Holdings, Inc.
$35.81
-0.84 (-2.29%)
▼
5d:
-18.82%
30d:
-30.38%
90d:
-8.37%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MIAX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MIAX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.06
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.23
24.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MIAX is currently trading at $35.81, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.48 to $50.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.6) compared to its historical average (28.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 786.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIAX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MIAX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.20 (+43.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIAX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MIAX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.20 (+43.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$38.48 -
$50.53
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.0% below Wall St target ($51.20)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-18.8%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.48 -
$50.53
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.48
Resistance Level
$51.60
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.65
Wall Street Target
$51.20
(+43.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
786.8%
Profit Margin
8.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.7 vs 28.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.23
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$29.01
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$26.11
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→28)
$37.20
(+4%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.8%)
$64.81
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.6, Growth: 17.8%)
$58.47
(+63%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.7, Growth: 17.8%)
$49.70
(+39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.29
Bull Case
$56.87
(+59%)
Analyst growth 41.3%, PE expands to 31.2
Base Case
$51.70
(+44%)
Market implied 41.3%, PE stable at 28.4
Bear Case
$24.88
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.6 to 28.0
Stabilization Target:
$51.03
(+42.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+42.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 1:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MIAX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thomas P Gallagher
SELL
49900 shares
2026-04-15
Thomas P Gallagher
SELL
174125 shares
2026-04-15
Barbara J Comly
SELL
29667 shares
2026-04-15
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