Miami International (MIAX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MIAX - Miami International Holdings, Inc.
$41.47
-1.07 (-2.52%)
▼
5d:
-2.9%
30d:
-4.62%
90d:
+0.48%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MIAX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MIAX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$71.10
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.15
6.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MIAX is currently trading at $41.47, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.76 to $44.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.4) compared to its historical average (26.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 32.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIAX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $39.66, while resistance sits at $44.26.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.40 (+23.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIAX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $39.66, while resistance sits at $44.26.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.40 (+23.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$41.76 -
$44.67
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.9% below Wall St target ($51.40)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.76 -
$44.67
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.66
Resistance Level
$44.26
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.39
Wall Street Target
$51.40
(+23.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.7%
Profit Margin
9.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.4 vs 26.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.65
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$36.02
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$33.57
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→26)
$41.44
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.4, Growth: 12.0%)
$58.27
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 12.0%)
$54.95
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 12.0%)
$46.71
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.43
Bull Case
$63.45
(+53%)
Analyst growth 35.6%, PE expands to 32.7
Base Case
$57.68
(+39%)
Market implied 35.6%, PE stable at 29.8
Bear Case
$28.93
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.4 to 26.4
Stabilization Target:
$51.19
(+23.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 1:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MIAX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thomas P Gallagher
SELL
49900 shares
2026-04-15
Thomas P Gallagher
SELL
174125 shares
2026-04-15
Barbara J Comly
SELL
29667 shares
2026-04-15
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