MIAX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MIAX - Miami International Holdings, Inc.
$46.83
-0.21 (-0.45%)
▼
5d:
+7.85%
30d:
+14.67%
90d:
-0.72%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MIAX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MIAX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$72.47
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MIAX is currently trading at $46.83, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.32 to $44.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.1) is in line with its historical norms (27.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 786.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIAX is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $47.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MIAX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIAX is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $47.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MIAX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$38.32 -
$44.53
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.2% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($51.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.32 -
$44.53
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.66
Resistance Level
$47.48
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.12
Wall Street Target
$51.00
(+8.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
786.8%
Profit Margin
8.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.1 vs 27.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.66
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$44.52
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$43.40
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→27)
$46.82
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.1, Growth: 14.6%)
$70.44
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 14.6%)
$58.11
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 14.6%)
$49.40
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.29
Bull Case
$68.01
(+45%)
Analyst growth 44.5%, PE expands to 36.5
Base Case
$61.83
(+31%)
Market implied 44.5%, PE stable at 33.2
Bear Case
$29.09
(-38%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.1 to 27.1
Stabilization Target:
$50.51
(+7.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 5:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:19 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is MIAX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thomas P Gallagher
SELL
49900 shares
2026-04-15
Thomas P Gallagher
SELL
174125 shares
2026-04-15
Barbara J Comly
SELL
29667 shares
2026-04-15
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