MIAX
Miami International Holdings, Inc.
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Miami International (MIAX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$36.39
-0.47 (-1.28%)
▼
5d:
+5.51%
30d:
+22.44%
90d:
-16.38%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (29%)
Quality Score
29/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$30.79 – $34.99
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
19.5x
CHEAP
vs 24.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$44.80
+21.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$32.13 / $36.95
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MIAX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.86
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.03
6.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MIAX is currently trading at $36.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.79 to $34.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.5) compared to its historical average (24.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 32.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIAX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MIAX scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.80 (+21.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIAX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MIAX scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.80 (+21.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$30.79 -
$34.99
Company Quality Score
29/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$30.79 -
$34.99
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$32.13
Resistance Level
$36.95
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.5% below Wall St target ($44.80)
- WARNING: Composite score 29/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.54
Wall Street Target
$44.80
(+21.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.7%
Profit Margin
19.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.5 vs 24.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.06
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$31.47
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$29.08
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→25)
$36.90
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.2%)
$47.51
(+29%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.5, Growth: 8.2%)
$46.75
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.6, Growth: 8.2%)
$39.74
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.93
Bull Case
$25.29
(-31%)
Analyst growth -35.6%, PE expands to 13.4
Base Case
$22.99
(-38%)
Market implied -35.6%, PE stable at 12.2
Bear Case
$24.28
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.5 to 24.8
Stabilization Target:
$46.78
(+26.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MIAX)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Investor $Username is bullish on $MIAX ahead of earnings release, citing a strong earnings track record.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MIAX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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