MarketAxess (MKTX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MKTX - MarketAxess Holdings Inc.
$164.66
0.40 (0.24%)
▲
5d:
+0.07%
30d:
+0.58%
90d:
+41.11%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 06, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MKTX is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: MKTX is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$222.10
Based on 6.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$137.91
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MKTX is currently trading at $164.66, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $163.57 to $164.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.8) is in line with its historical norms (18.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MKTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $164.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MKTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $164.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$163.57 -
$164.50
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
Protect Your Profits
MKTX is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($162.22)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (54/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$163.57 -
$164.50
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$164.25
Resistance Level
$165.19
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.82
Wall Street Target
$162.22
(-1.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Profit Margin
35.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 18.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$166.47
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$168.30
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$170.15
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$164.56
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.8%)
$230.30
(+40%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 9.8%)
$218.23
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: 9.8%)
$185.50
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.46
Bull Case
$186.87
(+14%)
Analyst growth 3.4%, PE expands to 21.4
Base Case
$169.88
(+3%)
Market implied 3.4%, PE stable at 19.4
Bear Case
$111.70
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 6:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MKTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MKTX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MKTX price and gamma walls.
