MKTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MKTX - MarketAxess Holdings Inc.
$162.11
0.21 (0.13%)
▲
5d:
-0.28%
30d:
+41.82%
90d:
+18.98%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: MKTX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: MKTX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$224.66
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$139.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MKTX is currently trading at $162.11, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $119.47 to $165.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.4) is in line with its historical norms (18.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MKTX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $161.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MKTX scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MKTX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $161.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MKTX scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$119.47 -
$165.40
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
39.0%
Protect Your Profits
MKTX is technically overbought (RSI 82). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (24/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($158.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$119.47 -
$165.40
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$161.74
Resistance Level
$162.71
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.39
Wall Street Target
$158.00
(-2.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Profit Margin
35.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
18.4 vs 18.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$163.08
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$164.06
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$165.05
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$162.49
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 10.2%)
$236.69
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: 10.2%)
$216.81
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: 10.2%)
$184.29
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.47
Bull Case
$185.40
(+14%)
Analyst growth 4.1%, PE expands to 21.0
Base Case
$168.54
(+4%)
Market implied 4.1%, PE stable at 19.1
Bear Case
$110.09
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 10:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is MKTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott Pintoff
SELL
100 shares
2026-04-10
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