Is MKTX stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, MKTX is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MKTX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of MKTX stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for MKTX to be between $162.19 and $162.92. The current price is $163.00.

What is the analyst price target for MKTX?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for MKTX is $158.00. This implies a potential upside of -3.1% from current levels.

MarketAxess (MKTX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MKTX - MarketAxess Holdings Inc.

SECURITY BROKERS, DEALERS & FLOTATION COMPANIES

$163.00

-0.09 (-0.06%) ▼

5d: -0.21%

30d: +0.25%

90d: +40.12%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your MKTX Gains

Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 07, 2026 0d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 8, 2026 at $163.30 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 3.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MKTX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.2%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$224.66

Based on 7.1% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$139.49

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.1x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MKTX is currently trading at $163.00, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $162.19 to $162.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.5) is in line with its historical norms (18.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MKTX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $162.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $162.19 - $162.92

Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 47.1%

Protect Your Profits

MKTX is technically overbought (RSI 80). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($158.00)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $162.19 - $162.92

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $162.50

Resistance Level $163.60

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.49

Wall Street Target $158.00 (-3.1%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.5%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 1.0%

Profit Margin 35.2%

Valuation Premium vs History +0.7% premium

PE vs Historical 18.5 vs 18.1 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +0.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $164.14 (+1%)

2-Year Target $165.29 (+1%)

3-Year Target $166.45 (+2%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→18) PE COMPRESSION $162.97 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.2%) $237.86 (+46%)

Base: (SPY PE: 18.5, Growth: 10.2%) $218.00 (+34%)

Bear: (PE: 15.7, Growth: 10.2%) $185.30 (+14%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 19.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.45

Bull Case $187.20 (+15%)

Analyst growth 4.3%, PE expands to 21.2

Base Case $170.18 (+4%)

Market implied 4.3%, PE stable at 19.3

Bear Case $110.90 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.4

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: September 12, 2026 11:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:09 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Scott Pintoff SELL 100 shares 2026-04-10

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Advanced MKTX Option Strategies

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