MKTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MKTX - MarketAxess Holdings Inc.
$162.30
-0.46 (-0.28%)
▼
5d:
+39.09%
30d:
+41.76%
90d:
+3.25%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
4d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 3.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: MKTX is 23.9% above its trading range ($131.04). Market expects 1.1% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: MKTX is 23.9% above its trading range ($131.04). Market expects 1.1% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$221.34
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$137.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MKTX is currently trading at $162.30, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $106.34 to $131.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.6) is in line with its historical norms (18.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MKTX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $163.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MKTX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $163.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$106.34 -
$131.04
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
35.2%
Protect Your Profits
MKTX is technically overbought (RSI 85). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+23.9% above its trading range)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($153.73)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$106.34 -
$131.04
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$111.90
Resistance Level
$163.94
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.63
Wall Street Target
$153.73
(-5.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
450.0%
Profit Margin
35.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
18.6 vs 18.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$164.55
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$166.36
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$168.19
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$162.49
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 10.2%)
$243.57
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.6, Growth: 10.2%)
$218.08
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.8, Growth: 10.2%)
$185.36
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.73
Bull Case
$138.39
(-15%)
Analyst growth 0.1%, PE expands to 15.8
Base Case
$125.81
(-23%)
Market implied 0.1%, PE stable at 14.4
Bear Case
$85.50
(-47%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 2:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MKTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott Pintoff
SELL
100 shares
2026-04-10
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Advanced MKTX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MKTX price and gamma walls.
