Motorcar Parts of America (MPAA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MPAA - Motorcar Parts of America, Inc.
$10.38
0.04 (0.39%)
▲
5d:
-2.99%
30d:
-10.13%
90d:
-28.61%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 09, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MPAA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MPAA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.25
Based on -14.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MPAA is currently trading at $10.38, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.53 to $11.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.9) is in line with its historical norms (8.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MPAA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+74.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MPAA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+74.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.53 -
$11.58
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
47th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MPAA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 47th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 74.1% below Wall St target ($18.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.2% growth with -10.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.53 -
$11.58
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.44
(13.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.13
Resistance Level
$10.96
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.91
Wall Street Target
$18.00
(+74.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.2%
Profit Margin
-0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 8.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.46
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$10.59
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$10.72
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.34
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -33.3%)
$17.25
(+67%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: -33.3%)
$7.54
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: -33.3%)
$6.41
(-38%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 10:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MPAA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MPAA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MPAA price and gamma walls.
