MPWR
Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.
SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
Best Semiconductor Stocks 2026 →
Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$1390.54
-56.86 (-3.93%)
▼
5d:
+16.81%
30d:
+11.31%
90d:
-1.8%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
0d
Protect MPWR Gains
Updated Nov 13, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (24%)
Quality Score
30/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$1181.79 – $1388.26
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
29.8x
CHEAP
vs 44.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$1831.36
+31.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$1125.00 / $1513.49
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MPWR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Get Alerted When MPWR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2271.03
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1410.13
1.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MPWR is currently trading at $1390.54, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1181.79 to $1388.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 29.8) compared to its historical average (44.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 47.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MPWR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1125.00, while resistance sits at $1513.49. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: MPWR scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1831.36 (+31.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MPWR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1125.00, while resistance sits at $1513.49. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: MPWR scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1831.36 (+31.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$1181.79 -
$1388.26
Company Quality Score
30/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$1181.79 -
$1388.26
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$1125.00
Resistance Level
$1513.49
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding MPWR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 31.7% below Wall St target ($1831.36)
- WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.81
Wall Street Target
$1831.36
(+31.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
63.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
47.3%
Profit Margin
23.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
29.8 vs 44.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1251.49
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$1126.34
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$1013.70
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→44)
$1509.90
(+9%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.8, Growth: 59.5%)
$4693.07
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 59.5%)
$3126.73
(+125%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 59.5%)
$2657.72
(+91%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 31.55 | Forward EPS (Implied): $44.08
Bull Case
$1679.08
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 33.1
Base Case
$1390.54
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 31.6
Bear Case
$1063.76
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 28.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 29.8 to 44.4
Stabilization Target:
$2071.19
(+48.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+48.9%
Share MPWR Analysis
Share this live MPWR analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MPWR)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 12, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
iShares A.I. Innovation and Tech Active ETF (BAI) bought new positions in Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR), Cloudflare (NET), Tempus AI (TEM), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), and Broadcom (AVGO) in its latest net buying of $161.4 million.
Key Retail Themes:
ETF buying activity
New positions in MPWR, NET, TEM, AMD, and AVGO
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 4:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MPWR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Semiconductors Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Semiconductors by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AVGO
Broadcom Inc |
STRONG BUY
51 analysts |
$533 | 52 HOLD |
|
MU
Micron Technology Inc |
STRONG BUY
49 analysts |
$1562 | 56 HOLD |
|
MRVL
Marvell Technology Group… |
STRONG BUY
44 analysts |
$310 | 58 HOLD |
|
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation |
STRONG BUY
62 analysts |
$327 | 45 HOLD |
|
ADI
Analog Devices Inc |
STRONG BUY
34 analysts |
$472 | 45 HOLD |
Advanced MPWR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MPWR price and gamma walls.
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive MPWR Research Pages
