MPWR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MPWR - Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.
$1332.38
-93.65 (-6.57%)
▼
5d:
-0.5%
30d:
+3.43%
90d:
-15.86%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When MPWR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MPWR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MPWR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1489.27
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$924.72
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MPWR is currently trading at $1332.38, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1291.50 to $1413.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 46.6) is in line with its historical norms (48.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 39.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MPWR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $1240.02, while resistance sits at $1568.21. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: MPWR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1776.92 (+24.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MPWR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $1240.02, while resistance sits at $1568.21. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: MPWR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1776.92 (+24.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$1291.50 -
$1413.07
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MPWR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 24.6% below Wall St target ($1776.92)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$1291.50 -
$1413.07
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1240.02
Resistance Level
$1568.21
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
46.62
Wall Street Target
$1776.92
(+24.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.5%
Profit Margin
23.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
46.6 vs 48.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1410.34
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$1394.83
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$1379.49
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 47→48)
$1426.34
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 46.6, Growth: 26.5%)
$2889.63
(+103%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 26.5%)
$1284.99
(-10%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 26.5%)
$1092.24
(-23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (51x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (47x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 51.28 | Forward EPS (Implied): $27.81
Bull Case
$1721.93
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 53.9
Base Case
$1426.03
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 51.3
Bear Case
$1090.91
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 46.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 46.6 to 48.2
Stabilization Target:
$1474.47
(+3.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:31 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MPWR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Saria Tseng
SELL
8963 shares
2026-04-08
Saria Tseng
SELL
7636 shares
2026-04-06
Maurice Sciammas
SELL
30 shares
2026-04-01
Top Rated Semiconductors Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Semiconductors by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AVGO
Broadcom Inc |
STRONG BUY
46 analysts |
$528 | 55 HOLD |
|
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation |
STRONG BUY
63 analysts |
$303 | 53 HOLD |
|
MRVL
Marvell Technology Group… |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$257 | 53 HOLD |
|
MU
Micron Technology Inc |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$1522 | 55 HOLD |
|
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors NV |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$312 | 54 HOLD |
Advanced MPWR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MPWR price and gamma walls.
