MPWR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MPWR - Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.
$1689.89
64.90 (3.99%)
▲
5d:
+4.3%
30d:
+7.41%
90d:
+53.76%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Get Alerted When MPWR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
1 traders called MPWR this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MPWR trades at premium valuation expecting 5.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: MPWR trades at premium valuation expecting 5.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1468.25
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$911.67
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MPWR is currently trading at $1689.89, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1534.66 to $1641.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 56.0) compared to its historical average (48.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MPWR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $1714.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (23th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MPWR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $1714.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (23th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$1534.66 -
$1641.67
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
23th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MPWR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 23th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($1797.14)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.0% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$1534.66 -
$1641.67
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$152.92
(9.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1481.07
Resistance Level
$1714.09
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
56.03
Wall Street Target
$1797.14
(+6.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.5%
Profit Margin
23.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.0% premium
PE vs Historical
56.0 vs 48.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1774.38
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$1863.10
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$1956.26
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 56→48)
PE COMPRESSION
$1689.77
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 56.0, Growth: 25.5%)
$3344.04
(+98%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 25.5%)
$1307.59
(-23%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 25.5%)
$1111.45
(-34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (67x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (56x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 67.11 | Forward EPS (Implied): $24.33
Bull Case
$1972.05
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 70.5
Base Case
$1633.17
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 67.1
Bear Case
$1249.38
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 60.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:56 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MPWR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
17
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Saria Tseng
SELL
8963 shares
2026-04-08
Saria Tseng
SELL
7636 shares
2026-04-06
Maurice Sciammas
SELL
30 shares
2026-04-01
Top Rated Semiconductors Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Semiconductors by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AVGO
Broadcom Inc |
STRONG BUY
46 analysts |
$480 | 64 BUY |
|
MRVL
Marvell Technology Group… |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$150 | 59 HOLD |
|
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation |
STRONG BUY
63 analysts |
$294 | 57 HOLD |
|
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors NV |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$302 | 61 BUY |
|
MU
Micron Technology Inc |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$613 | 52 HOLD |
Advanced MPWR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MPWR price and gamma walls.
