MRX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MRX - Marex Group plc Ordinary Shares
$73.00
-1.09 (-1.47%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.5%
30d:
+2.63%
90d:
+15.23%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MRX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.9% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MRX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.9% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.36
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MRX is currently trading at $73.00, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.11 to $75.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.4) compared to its historical average (9.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MRX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $69.12, while resistance sits at $79.11.
Market Sentiment: MRX scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MRX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $69.12, while resistance sits at $79.11.
Market Sentiment: MRX scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$65.11 -
$75.07
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
38.1%
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Holding MRX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($79.88)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 4.9% growth expectation is conservative given 105% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$65.11 -
$75.07
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$69.12
Resistance Level
$79.11
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.42
Wall Street Target
$79.88
(+9.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
105.3%
Profit Margin
12.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.9% premium
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 9.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.58
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$80.33
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$84.27
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11â10)
PE COMPRESSION
$73.05
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 4.2%)
$146.02
(+100%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 4.2%)
$82.68
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 4.2%)
$70.28
(-4%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.82
Bull Case
$108.08
(+48%)
Analyst growth 32.6%, PE expands to 16.9
Base Case
$98.25
(+35%)
Market implied 32.6%, PE stable at 15.4
Bear Case
$50.38
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 4:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MRX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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