MSPR
MSP Recovery, Inc. Class A Common Stock
SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION
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MSP Recovery (MSPR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$0.20
-0.07 (-25.48%)
▼
5d:
-30.42%
30d:
-55.7%
90d:
-85.96%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (63%)
Quality Score
45/100
Position
FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
0.0x
CHEAP
vs 0.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$3.00
+1404.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
UNKNOWN Vol
UNKNOWN volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$0.20 / $0.46
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MSPR is down 30.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.64
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.02
80.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 0.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MSPR is currently trading at $0.20, which is considered fair based on recent price action. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 0.0) compared to its historical average (0.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 45.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSPR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $0.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 25.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.00 (+1404.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSPR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $0.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 25.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.00 (+1404.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
62.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
Support Level
$0.20
Resistance Level
$0.46
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Dec 19, 2025
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-25.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 1404.9% below Wall St target ($3.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.02
Wall Street Target
$3.00
(+1404.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
59.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-45.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
0.0 vs 0.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-45.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$0.18
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$0.16
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$0.15
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 0→0)
$0.61
(+207%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 0.0, Growth: 315.8%)
$0.67
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 315.8%)
$636.46
(+319166%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.1, Growth: 315.8%)
$2.84
(+1322%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 0.0 to 0.1
Stabilization Target:
$0.84
(+321.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+321.4%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MSPR)
Neutral
2 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Dec 22, 2025
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits messages indicate a highly bullish sentiment towards $MSPR with no news articles available.
Key Retail Themes:
Anticipation of potential stock price increase
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 15, 2026 12:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MSPR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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