Nokia (NOK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NOK - Nokia Corporation
$7.88
-1.37 (-14.81%)
▼
5d:
-17.66%
30d:
-25.87%
90d:
-13.41%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: NOK is down 17.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: NOK is down 17.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.86
Based on 12.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.71
32.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NOK is currently trading at $7.88, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.35 to $10.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.4) compared to its historical average (22.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 14.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: NOK scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.97 (+89.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 14.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: NOK scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.97 (+89.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$9.35 -
$10.72
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-14.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 89.9% below Wall St target ($14.97)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.35 -
$10.72
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.78
Resistance Level
$10.53
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.37
Wall Street Target
$14.97
(+89.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-97.9%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 22.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.15
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$6.48
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$5.88
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→22)
$7.90
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 20.8%)
$16.85
(+114%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: 20.8%)
$13.89
(+76%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 20.8%)
$11.81
(+50%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 24.45 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.32
Bull Case
$9.52
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 25.7
Base Case
$7.88
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 24.5
Bear Case
$6.03
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 22.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.4 to 22.0
Stabilization Target:
$10.59
(+34.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+34.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 4:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NOK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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