NOK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NOK - Nokia Corporation
$11.69
-0.75 (-6.03%)
▼
5d:
-6.55%
30d:
-12.76%
90d:
+23.57%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
8d
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1 traders called NOK this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NOK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NOK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.76
Based on 13.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.89
9.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NOK is currently trading at $11.69, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.42 to $14.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.8) is in line with its historical norms (22.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: NOK has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.16 (+29.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: NOK has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.16 (+29.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.42 -
$14.61
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 29.6% below Wall St target ($15.16)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.6% growth with 2.4% revenue growth
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.6%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.42 -
$14.61
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.58
Resistance Level
$13.49
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.76
Wall Street Target
$15.16
(+29.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.8%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
23.8 vs 22.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.88
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$12.07
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$12.26
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.66
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.8, Growth: 23.0%)
$21.77
(+86%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 23.0%)
$19.96
(+71%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 23.0%)
$16.96
(+45%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 33.11 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.35
Bull Case
$14.12
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 34.8
Base Case
$11.69
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 33.1
Bear Case
$8.94
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 29.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 4:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NOK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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