NOK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NOK - Nokia Corporation
$13.70
-0.73 (-5.06%)
▼
5d:
-7.56%
30d:
-3.39%
90d:
+69.98%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NOK trades at premium valuation expecting 8.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: NOK trades at premium valuation expecting 8.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.54
Based on 12.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NOK is currently trading at $13.70, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.64 to $15.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 28.1) compared to its historical average (22.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.18, while resistance sits at $15.07. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.18, while resistance sits at $15.07. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$13.64 -
$15.80
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.1%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($14.89)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.2% growth with 2.4% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.6% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.64 -
$15.80
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.18
Resistance Level
$15.07
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.14
Wall Street Target
$14.89
(+8.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.8%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.2% premium
PE vs Historical
28.1 vs 22.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.82
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$16.04
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$17.35
(+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.69
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.1, Growth: 21.5%)
$24.56
(+79%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 21.5%)
$19.01
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 21.5%)
$16.16
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 38.17 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.36
Bull Case
$16.54
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 40.1
Base Case
$13.70
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 38.2
Bear Case
$10.48
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 34.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 10:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NOK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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