Nokia (NOK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NOK - Nokia Corporation
$11.13
0.51 (4.80%)
▲
5d:
+13.92%
30d:
+7.85%
90d:
-21.01%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NOK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NOK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.20
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.54
11.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NOK is currently trading at $11.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.64 to $10.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.4) is in line with its historical norms (22.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: NOK scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.96 (+34.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: NOK scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.96 (+34.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.64 -
$10.63
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 34.4% below Wall St target ($14.96)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with 8.4% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.64 -
$10.63
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.54
Resistance Level
$11.17
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.40
Wall Street Target
$14.96
(+34.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-97.9%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
22.4 vs 22.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.17
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$11.22
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$11.26
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.11
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 22.3%)
$20.36
(+83%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 22.3%)
$18.33
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 22.3%)
$15.58
(+40%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 24.45 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.46
Bull Case
$13.44
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 25.7
Base Case
$11.13
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 24.5
Bear Case
$8.51
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 22.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 7:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:59 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is NOK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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