Nokia (NOK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NOK - Nokia Corporation
$10.60
0.23 (2.22%)
â˛
5d:
+2.02%
30d:
+7.72%
90d:
-15.27%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NOK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NOK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.02
Based on 12.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.81
10.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NOK is currently trading at $10.60, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.98 to $10.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.9) is in line with its historical norms (22.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.95, while resistance sits at $11.05.
Market Sentiment: NOK scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.97 (+41.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.95, while resistance sits at $11.05.
Market Sentiment: NOK scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.97 (+41.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$9.98 -
$10.71
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.2% below Wall St target ($14.97)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.98 -
$10.71
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.95
Resistance Level
$11.05
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.95
Wall Street Target
$14.97
(+41.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-97.9%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.0 vs 22.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.58
(0%)
2-Year Target
$10.56
(0%)
3-Year Target
$10.54
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22â22)
$10.61
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 20.8%)
$18.69
(+76%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 20.8%)
$17.37
(+64%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 20.8%)
$14.77
(+39%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 24.45 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.43
Bull Case
$12.80
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 25.7
Base Case
$10.60
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 24.5
Bear Case
$8.11
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 22.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.9 to 22.1
Stabilization Target:
$10.67
(+0.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 9:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NOK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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