NOK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NOK - Nokia Corporation
$10.21
0.06 (0.59%)
â˛
5d:
-5.11%
30d:
+4.93%
90d:
-28.0%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NOK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NOK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.38
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.66
19.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NOK is currently trading at $10.21, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.19 to $10.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.6) is in line with its historical norms (22.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.12, while resistance sits at $11.13.
Market Sentiment: NOK scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.02 (+47.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.12, while resistance sits at $11.13.
Market Sentiment: NOK scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.02 (+47.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.19 -
$10.77
Company Quality Score
30/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 47.1% below Wall St target ($15.02)
- WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.19 -
$10.77
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.12
Resistance Level
$11.13
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.55
Wall Street Target
$15.02
(+47.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-97.9%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.6 vs 22.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.93
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$9.67
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$9.41
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21â22)
$10.21
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.5, Growth: 22.3%)
$18.68
(+83%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 22.3%)
$18.24
(+79%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 22.3%)
$15.51
(+52%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 26.53 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.38
Bull Case
$12.33
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 27.9
Base Case
$10.21
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 26.5
Bear Case
$7.81
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 23.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.5 to 22.3
Stabilization Target:
$11.08
(+8.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 6:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NOK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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