Red Robin Gourmet Burgers (RRGB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RRGB - Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc
$7.87
0.31 (4.10%)
▲
5d:
-4.37%
30d:
-3.55%
90d:
+66.38%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RRGB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RRGB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.81
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RRGB is currently trading at $7.87, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.11 to $9.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 28.1) compared to its historical average (42.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RRGB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.54, while resistance sits at $9.61. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: RRGB scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.33 (+44.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RRGB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.54, while resistance sits at $9.61. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: RRGB scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.33 (+44.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.11 -
$9.88
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
45th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 45th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 44.0% below Wall St target ($11.33)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.11 -
$9.88
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.21
(15.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.54
Resistance Level
$9.61
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.11
Wall Street Target
$11.33
(+44.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-90.5%
Profit Margin
-2.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
28.1 vs 42.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.08
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$6.37
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$5.74
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→43)
$8.76
(+11%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.1 to 42.9
Stabilization Target:
$12.01
(+52.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+52.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 14, 2026 12:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RRGB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jesse Griffith
SELL
1008 shares
2026-04-06
Jesse Griffith
SELL
839 shares
2026-03-23
Sarah A Mussetter
SELL
2913 shares
2026-03-23
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