RRGB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RRGB - Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc
$7.15
-0.58 (-7.50%)
▼
5d:
+5.77%
30d:
+49.58%
90d:
+133.66%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RRGB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RRGB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RRGB is currently trading at $7.15, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.44 to $6.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 48.7) compared to its historical average (41.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RRGB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: RRGB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (21th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.12 (+41.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RRGB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: RRGB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (21th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.12 (+41.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$4.44 -
$6.82
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
21th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 21th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 41.6% below Wall St target ($10.12)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.2% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.44 -
$6.82
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.03
(14.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.24
Resistance Level
$5.25
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
48.74
Wall Street Target
$10.13
(+41.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.6%
Profit Margin
-2.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.2% premium
PE vs Historical
48.7 vs 41.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.52
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$7.91
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$8.32
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 49→42)
PE COMPRESSION
$7.16
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 02, 2026 10:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RRGB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jesse Griffith
SELL
1008 shares
2026-04-06
Jesse Griffith
SELL
839 shares
2026-03-23
Sarah A Mussetter
SELL
2913 shares
2026-03-23
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