RYAAY
Ryanair Holdings plc American Depositary Shares
Air Transportation, Scheduled
Ryanair (RYAAY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$57.88
-1.55 (-2.61%)
▼
5d:
-1.11%
30d:
+12.76%
90d:
-1.58%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (30%)
Quality Score
39/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$52.10 – $57.77
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.5x
FAIR
vs 11.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$68.20
+17.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$52.66 / $62.14
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RYAAY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$71.94
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.67
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RYAAY is currently trading at $57.88, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.10 to $57.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.5) is in line with its historical norms (11.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYAAY is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $52.66, while resistance sits at $62.14.
Market Sentiment: RYAAY scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.20 (+17.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYAAY is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $52.66, while resistance sits at $62.14.
Market Sentiment: RYAAY scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.20 (+17.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$52.10 -
$57.77
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
29.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$52.10 -
$57.77
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$52.66
Resistance Level
$62.14
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (13/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($68.20)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with 4.0% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.51
Wall Street Target
$68.20
(+17.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.3%
Profit Margin
11.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 11.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.11
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$58.34
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$58.58
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$58.01
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.3%)
$116.73
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 5.3%)
$67.67
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 5.3%)
$57.52
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.98
Bull Case
$85.06
(+43%)
Analyst growth 26.3%, PE expands to 16.9
Base Case
$77.32
(+30%)
Market implied 26.3%, PE stable at 15.4
Bear Case
$41.62
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (RYAAY)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Oct 30, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on RYAAY are bearish (sentiment score +0.00) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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