Ryanair (RYAAY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RYAAY - Ryanair Holdings plc American Depositary Shares
$53.80
0.80 (1.51%)
▲
5d:
-1.65%
30d:
-9.37%
90d:
-9.41%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RYAAY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RYAAY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$72.57
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.06
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RYAAY is currently trading at $53.80, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.38 to $59.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.7) is in line with its historical norms (11.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYAAY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $52.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: RYAAY scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.68 (+31.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYAAY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $52.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: RYAAY scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.68 (+31.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$54.38 -
$59.23
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.4% below Wall St target ($70.68)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$54.38 -
$59.23
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$52.89
Resistance Level
$56.48
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.70
Wall Street Target
$70.68
(+31.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.1%
Profit Margin
12.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 11.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.51
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$51.25
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$50.02
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$53.75
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 5.3%)
$118.55
(+120%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 5.3%)
$62.90
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 5.3%)
$53.46
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.07
Bull Case
$72.02
(+34%)
Analyst growth 23.5%, PE expands to 14.3
Base Case
$65.47
(+22%)
Market implied 23.5%, PE stable at 13.0
Bear Case
$36.04
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 11.5
Stabilization Target:
$57.82
(+7.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 12:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RYAAY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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