Smithfield Foods (SFD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SFD - Smithfield Foods, Inc. Common Stock
$18.51
0.00 (0.00%)
â˛
5d:
+0.98%
30d:
-1.17%
90d:
-26.63%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Nov 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SFD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SFD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.01
Based on 2.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SFD is currently trading at $18.51, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.34 to $18.84. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.2) is in line with its historical norms (9.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SFD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.91, while resistance sits at $19.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.79 (+23.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SFD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.91, while resistance sits at $19.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.79 (+23.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$18.34 -
$18.84
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.1% below Wall St target ($22.79)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.6% growth with -8.3% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.34 -
$18.84
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.91
Resistance Level
$19.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.20
Wall Street Target
$22.79
(+23.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.1%
Profit Margin
5.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 9.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.81
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$19.11
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$19.41
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â10)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.46
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 1.2%)
$37.31
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 1.2%)
$19.16
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 1.2%)
$16.29
(-12%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.28
Bull Case
$16.06
(-13%)
Analyst growth -20.4%, PE expands to 8.9
Base Case
$14.60
(-21%)
Market implied -20.4%, PE stable at 8.0
Bear Case
$12.47
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: November 03, 2026 10:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SFD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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