SFD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SFD - Smithfield Foods, Inc. Common Stock
$24.69
-0.04 (-0.16%)
▼
5d:
-1.36%
30d:
-7.11%
90d:
-14.06%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SFD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SFD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.73
Based on 0.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.98
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SFD is currently trading at $24.69, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.42 to $26.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.7) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 8.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SFD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.42 (+27.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SFD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.42 (+27.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$24.42 -
$26.13
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.2% below Wall St target ($31.42)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.42 -
$26.13
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.54
Resistance Level
$27.10
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.67
Wall Street Target
$31.42
(+27.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Profit Margin
6.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.42
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$24.15
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$23.88
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$24.69
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -3.6%)
$49.82
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: -3.6%)
$22.13
(-10%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: -3.6%)
$18.81
(-24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.58
Bull Case
$26.84
(+9%)
Analyst growth -1.1%, PE expands to 10.5
Base Case
$24.40
(-1%)
Market implied -1.1%, PE stable at 9.6
Bear Case
$16.78
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 10.0
Stabilization Target:
$25.52
(+3.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 15, 2026 5:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SFD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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