Shake Shack (SHAK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$75.90
-1.25 (-1.62%)
▼
5d:
+8.21%
30d:
+9.46%
90d:
+4.17%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (20%)
Quality Score
35/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$64.46 – $72.03
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
52.4x
FAIR
vs 50.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$81.50
+7.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$64.31 / $78.65
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SHAK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 5, 2026 at $69.94 · last confirmed Nov 10, 2026
Strength: 7.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.03
Based on 11.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.52
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SHAK is currently trading at $75.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.46 to $72.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 52.4) is in line with its historical norms (50.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHAK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $64.31, while resistance sits at $78.65.
Market Sentiment: SHAK scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHAK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $64.31, while resistance sits at $78.65.
Market Sentiment: SHAK scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$64.46 -
$72.03
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
20.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$64.46 -
$72.03
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$64.31
Resistance Level
$78.65
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding SHAK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.4% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($81.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
52.42
Wall Street Target
$81.50
(+7.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.0%
Profit Margin
2.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
52.4 vs 50.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.96
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$78.04
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$79.13
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 52→50)
PE COMPRESSION
$75.79
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 52.4, Growth: 19.0%)
$127.81
(+68%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 19.0%)
$48.43
(-36%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 19.0%)
$41.16
(-46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 51.81 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.46
Bull Case
$91.65
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 54.4
Base Case
$75.90
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 51.8
Bear Case
$58.06
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 46.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SHAK)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Sep 27, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits user expresses optimism towards Shake Shack's (NYSE: $SHAK) growth potential in China and Europe, along with expanding presence in the US.
Key Retail Themes:
Growth in China
Expansion in Europe and US
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 10, 2026 9:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SHAK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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