Shake Shack (SHAK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SHAK - Shake Shack Inc.
$67.84
-1.90 (-2.72%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.35%
30d:
+16.78%
90d:
+21.16%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SHAK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SHAK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$68.64
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.62
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SHAK is currently trading at $67.84, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $57.15 to $68.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 48.1) is in line with its historical norms (50.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHAK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $63.49, while resistance sits at $72.89.
Market Sentiment: SHAK scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.50 (+18.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHAK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $63.49, while resistance sits at $72.89.
Market Sentiment: SHAK scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.50 (+18.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$57.15 -
$68.25
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SHAK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($80.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$57.15 -
$68.25
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$63.49
Resistance Level
$72.89
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
48.12
Wall Street Target
$80.50
(+18.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.8%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
48.1 vs 50.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.82
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$65.82
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$64.83
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 48â50)
$67.77
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 48.1, Growth: 25.6%)
$134.43
(+98%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 25.6%)
$55.48
(-18%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 25.6%)
$47.16
(-31%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 41.67 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.63
Bull Case
$81.92
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 43.8
Base Case
$67.84
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 41.7
Bear Case
$51.90
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 37.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 48.1 to 50.3
Stabilization Target:
$70.92
(+4.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 21, 2026 9:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SHAK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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