Standard Motor Products (SMP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$44.31
-0.26 (-0.58%)
▼
5d:
-3.63%
30d:
+19.66%
90d:
+13.73%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (27%)
Quality Score
30/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$36.01 – $43.19
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.0x
FAIR
vs 8.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$50.67
+14.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$38.06 / $47.27
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SMP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Get Alerted When SMP Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.57
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SMP is currently trading at $44.31, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.01 to $43.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.0) is in line with its historical norms (8.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMP is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $38.06, while resistance sits at $47.27.
Market Sentiment: SMP scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.67 (+14.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMP is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $38.06, while resistance sits at $47.27.
Market Sentiment: SMP scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.67 (+14.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$36.01 -
$43.19
Company Quality Score
30/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$36.01 -
$43.19
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$38.06
Resistance Level
$47.27
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($50.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.00
Wall Street Target
$50.67
(+14.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.4%
Profit Margin
3.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
9.0 vs 8.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.73
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$47.19
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$48.70
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$44.37
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.0%)
$141.10
(+218%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 13.0%)
$63.94
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 13.0%)
$54.35
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.03
Bull Case
$59.89
(+35%)
Analyst growth 22.2%, PE expands to 12.2
Base Case
$54.45
(+23%)
Market implied 22.2%, PE stable at 11.1
Bear Case
$30.31
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share SMP Analysis
Share this live SMP analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SMP)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 31, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Standard Motor Products (SMP) reported Q3 2026 earnings and declared a dividend, leading to a positive response from investors on StockTwits.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SMP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Auto Parts Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Auto Parts by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AZO
AutoZone Inc |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$3666 | 51 HOLD |
|
ORLY
O’Reilly Automotive Inc |
STRONG BUY
29 analysts |
$106 | 44 HOLD |
|
APTV
Aptiv PLC |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$59 | 60 BUY |
|
HSAI
Hesai Group Sponsored ADR |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$26 | 42 HOLD |
|
MBLY
Mobileye Global Inc. Cla… |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$9 | 55 HOLD |
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive SMP Research Pages
