StoneX Group (SNEX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SNEX - StoneX Group Inc. Common Stock
$65.81
0.41 (0.63%)
▲
5d:
-1.5%
30d:
-1.57%
90d:
-46.18%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SNEX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SNEX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$83.19
Based on 3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$51.66
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SNEX is currently trading at $65.81, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.33 to $69.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.8) is in line with its historical norms (15.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 85.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SNEX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $63.25, while resistance sits at $71.07.
Market Sentiment: SNEX scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.00 (+14.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SNEX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $63.25, while resistance sits at $71.07.
Market Sentiment: SNEX scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.00 (+14.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$66.33 -
$69.42
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($75.00)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 19% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$66.33 -
$69.42
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$63.25
Resistance Level
$71.07
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.83
Wall Street Target
$75.00
(+14.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
85.2%
Profit Margin
0.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 15.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.57
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$61.79
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$60.06
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$65.59
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 2.2%)
$102.88
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 2.2%)
$69.73
(+7%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: 2.2%)
$59.27
(-9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.66
Bull Case
$91.89
(+41%)
Analyst growth 29.2%, PE expands to 19.4
Base Case
$83.54
(+28%)
Market implied 29.2%, PE stable at 17.7
Bear Case
$43.96
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.8 to 15.1
Stabilization Target:
$71.42
(+9.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SNEX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Annabelle G Bexiga
SELL
1500 shares
2026-04-15
Philip Andrew Smith
SELL
30000 shares
2026-04-10
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