StoneX Group (SNEX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SNEX - StoneX Group Inc. Common Stock
$70.37
0.60 (0.86%)
▲
5d:
+1.19%
30d:
+1.4%
90d:
-45.76%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: SNEX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: SNEX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$83.19
Based on 3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$51.66
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SNEX is currently trading at $70.37, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.04 to $70.94. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.9) is in line with its historical norms (15.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 85.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SNEX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $71.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SNEX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $71.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$66.04 -
$70.94
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($75.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$66.04 -
$70.94
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.73
Resistance Level
$71.46
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.88
Wall Street Target
$75.00
(+6.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
85.2%
Profit Margin
0.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 15.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.95
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$69.53
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$69.11
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
$70.15
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 2.2%)
$101.72
(+45%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 2.2%)
$75.03
(+7%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 2.2%)
$63.77
(-9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.68
Bull Case
$98.64
(+40%)
Analyst growth 28.5%, PE expands to 20.9
Base Case
$89.68
(+27%)
Market implied 28.5%, PE stable at 19.0
Bear Case
$47.44
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.9 to 15.1
Stabilization Target:
$71.42
(+1.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SNEX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Annabelle G Bexiga
SELL
1500 shares
2026-04-15
Philip Andrew Smith
SELL
30000 shares
2026-04-10
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